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gekkokamen said:
Beuli2 said:
gekkokamen said:
astrosmash said:
gekkokamen said:
Beuli2 said:
gekkokamen said:

if Nintendo cuts the price to $150 next year Wii could have a shot at 15 million, if not, then nope.

A shot? How much do you rhink it'll sell next year?  12 millions? It jsut won't fall that much from 19 millions.

And let me ask you're also one of those who thinks the Xbox 360 or PS3 will sell more than 15 millions next year?


Just won't fall? what makes you so sure to state that as FACT? I gave you my prediction, just what i THINK. So whatever. Sales go down, not up after you reach a point in life and just under $200 price tag. I THINK the Wii won't sell more than 15 million next year, is it so hard to believe? I THINK it's quite realistic.

When you are predicting the largest yoy drop in the history of game systems, don't you think the onus is on you to provide solid evidence for such a prediction? 


Do you have any evidence to attest that this would be the largest yoy drop in the history of game systems? The Wii has sold as of last week 15.69 (according to VGC of course) in 2010. Let's say it ends the year at 18.5 million. I say it could reach 15 million next year. Is 3-3.5 million the biggest yoy drop in history? LMAO, listen to yourself man, LMAO...

Wii 2010

2 Wii 7.33 1.34 7.02 15.69

Wii 2009

2 Wii 10.72 2.02 9.06 21.80

Wii 2008

2 Wii 11.44 3.02 9.94 24.39

 

Dude, want more proof? what was that thing you say, oh right, "the onus is on you"...LMAO....

Actually, this is wrong because:

1. It won't sell 18.5 millions this year, it will do at least 19 million, but will likely do more with a big increase in Americas due the deals this week, ending with 19.2 millions. Yes, 0.7 million makes a difference.

2. You are actually expecting it to have "a shot" at 15 millions WITH the price cut. That means it would do around 13 millions without the price cut. That would be a 6 - 6.4 millions decrease from 2010 and THIS is a big dropoff.

Now grasping at straws doggie? lol... now you are putting numbers in my mouth? 14 million? dude, the evidence hits you in the face and you still can't see it. The Wii had a price cut last year and it still dropped 3 million from the previous year and it will finished around 3 million DOWN YOY this year, so.....Oooh now I own a little pirate doggie, yipeee :D

I'm not putting numbers in your mouth, but you said it might do 15 millions with the pricecut, meaning that without it could do between 0 and 14.99 millions next year, but it is reasonable to think it is 13 millions. The Wii sold less than last year because of the first three quarters, before the pricecut, in Q4 it did gigantic numbers, and hardly could sell more than it did, and it will be down this year for the same reason as.



Above: still the best game of the year.