360 and ps3 will both sell around 14-16mil. With ps3 outselling it initially and 360 catching up to it over the holidays.
Wii will sell around 15-20mil depending on whether it gets a pricecut.
I think its more likely for the 360 to get a pricecut next year then the ps3. Currently the harddrive model costs as much as the standard ps3 and is cheaper to make. Over the holidays microsoft could easily drop the price of both kinect and the xbox and make a bundle $100 cheaper. Kinect might get dropped in price sooner if sales die down quickly after the holidays.
Unless the ps3 starts really tanking I don't think sony will give it a pricecut, hence why their exclusives lineup is strong all year. No single game that will push a lot of consoles, but having them all in one console will have this effect.
