Will the PS3 overtake the XBox 360 in 2 years?

[goddog]

kowenicki said:

BHR-3 said:

numonex said:

http://gamer.blorge.com/2010/05/28/ps3-to-overtake-xbox-360-in-2-years/

Here is the article from gamer.blorge. 

Does anyone believe the PS3 can actually overtake the 360 within 2 years?

I personally have my doubts whether the PS3 can overtake the 360 this generation. Gran Turismo 5 is the PS3s last chance. The XBox 360s, Halo:Reach should be enough to offset Gran Turismo 5 sales impact.  I believe both PS Move and Kinect will have no real impact on the sales. The Wii has the casual  video game market wrapped up this generation. 

Three years time seems more likely when the PS3 overtakes the 360. MS knows how to get more out of the 360. 360 Slim launch was a brilliant move and the Kinect should extend the 360s life span to 10 years. PS3 may have to wait until 2013 or 2014 when it overtakes the 360 in total console sales.  

yes no problem the last shipment gap was 3.6M

no its not its still hasnt reached a $199 price and there are numerous AAA exclusives left

anyone that wants Reach already bought one sure it will have a HW bump do to LE console same cant be said for GT5, Agent, Last Guardian ect

Move does have some serious hardcore games supporting it so just because you think wii has the lock on casuals only means that a devise that appeals and offers games to the casuals only will suffer more

agreed bout the life span

id say it will take 2nd in 2011 or in the fiscal year of 2011 i also believe that PS3 will be the number one selling console in 2011 its SW lineup is insane and there will be a price cut for that will have the bigger impact than what nintendo or MS do with there prices next year

you should expect that gap to have increased in the next shipment numbers....

And you said all of this towards the end of last year....   

 

In terms of actual sales thru to customers:

For PS3 to overtake 360, PS3 will need to outsell 360 by:
1,355,891	per month to catch it by Jan '11	312,898	per week, on average every week.
338,973	per month to catch it by Jan '12	78,224	per week, on average every week.
193,699	per month to catch it by Jan '13	44,700	per week, on average every week.
135,589	per month to catch it by Jan '14	31,290	per week, on average every week.
Current rates:
259,661	per month on average for the last 12 months.	1.74	yrs to catch at this rate	May-12
165,361	per month on average for the last 9 months.	2.73	yrs to catch at this rate	May-13
6,065	per month on average for the last 6 months.	67.70	yrs to catch at this rate	Apr-77
-213,705	per month on average for the last 3 months.	****	yrs to catch at this rate	****

numbers.... pffft here is good old idle speculation http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=5338