If sony wants to win next gen, they would probably be best off launching ps4 first, but since they are more interesting in being profitable they should pray kinect takes off and the next xbox doesn't release in a while, because if they don't launch the ps4 at the same time as the next xbox, they will completly lose the US, but if the launches happen too soon sony won't even have one year this gen where the ps3 has been profitable. I think both microsoft and sony will ignore the next nintendo console and try to extend their consoles' life as long as possible, hence the release of the move and kinect. Nintendo has casual appeal but not HD graphics. They can only add that with a new console. Xbox and Playstation already have HD graphics and can try to add casual appeal without making brand new consoles. Now whether the move and kinect become successful or not is anyone's guess.
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