I don't think GT5 sales will be bad. I mean 4mil people basically bought a beta version for the ps3. On the other hand 5mil people bought a 60$ dlc for halo 3 so reach be huge as well. Hoping mario galaxy 2 will be the first wii game I'll actually enjoy that will break 10mil. Starcraft 2 has no chance of winning due to pirating as i said before. Anyway all three will almost be very close and between GT5 and Halo reach it might depend on which console lasts longer, which will be the PS3 imo.
NSMBWii if it continues to decline as it is will sell around 7-8million this year if it gets a big boost during the holidays. Halo Reach could possibly be front loaded enough to outsell it for the year and super mario galaxy 2 will have enough time if it sells well.
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