Gran Turismo 5, the first 20 million selling GT... maybe.

[Barozi]

nordlead said:

Hus said:

Barozi said:

The generation will be over before the PS3 even has the userbase to do this.
Attach rate says no.

care to be more specific as in what would the attach rate have to be in your opinion and on how big a userbase. 

Anything over 40% attach rate is huge. If we look at some of the top sellers the highest attach rates are

Mario Kart Wii - ~32% (first non-bundled Wii title)
Halo 3 - ~31%
GTA IV (PS3) - ~23%

So, assuming GT5 can actually acheive 40% attach rate you are looking at a minimum of 50m PS3 units sold. However, I don't expect it to come close to 40% attach rate when all is said and done and at best closer to 30%, so the PS3 would need to sell ~66m units.

yep I guesstimated about 70m PS3 units.

The only game that could sustain its legs is Mario Kart Wii. Halo 3 and GTA IV will go down by the time. I also expect the same for GT5.