darthdevidem01 on 14 November 2009
| ioi said: Look back on the site for similar situations. As you know I deal with trends and when you have a huge breakout hit like Modern Warfare 1 then is starts slow but build sales due to word of mouth. Then the second game comes out, has an enormous opening (off the back of the original game being so good) then drops quickly. Since there is already a fair amount of backlash for MW2 and many saying it isn't as good as the original, I suspect it will drop pretty fast. Similarly, I'd expect MW3 to not be as big as MW2 was. Look at what happened with Halo and Halo 2, GTA III and Vice City / San Andreas, the original Smash Bros in Japan and Melee, Resident Evil 1 and 2 in Japan, Tekken 1 and 2, Inazuma Eleven 1 and 2 etc etc. In all cases you have a game that is either a new series or such a departure from previous games that it is virually a new game, but it will always start slow since it is unknown and build huge sales over many months. The sequel is always different since the fans rush out day one to buy the game and it doesn't show anywhere near the same legs. This is exactly what I expect with MW2 - it won't have the long-term sales of MW1. In fact, I'd predict that monthly sales by about March will be less that MW1 was at the same time from launch. |
FF7 & FF8 is the best example
GTA:SA actually disproves that theory (dunno why you included it)
