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I think one of the reason's the wii can last unusually long is that it isn't powerful, it will become an inexpensive lifestyle type of an item, things like wii-fit don't require super complex ai or 1000Trillion polygon's per second, but are a life style type of item, nor will game developers be forced to constantly push more visuals
I see the wii as becoming it's own industry, sort of a third category, it will be more than a video game machine, but at the same time only a video game machine,
So the wii can have a longer life cycle and I"m sure nintendo knows that



I HAVE A DOUBLE DRAGON CAB IN MY KITCHEN!!!!!!

NOW A PUNISHER CAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!