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TheSource said:

PS3 will do something like 125k when FFXIII comes out. DQIX is going to have a bigger openining for a cheaper system but I still only expect DS to do 175k. But a 1m boost in Japan is absurd. The PS3 base may only be 3.6m or so when FFXIII arrives. One game doesn't give you a 30% base boost.

I think he is hoping for the PS3 slim or a major pricecut. Along with a bundle.

Otherwise... as you say, it will NOT stand the chance to hit a million in release month.