I think it will be crushed by PS3/X360, but not because "people are used to those consoles". Rather I think Konami already destroyed the franchise for Wii owners, while EA is doing their best to do the same to FIFA.
If you look at FIFA sales on Wii, it did decent (all-play killed some sales). Still behind the other systems, but a respectable number. FIFA08 actually did more than 1/2 the sales of the PS3 version.
| Game | Sales | |
|---|---|---|
 |
FIFA Soccer 09 All-Play |
0.67m |
 |
FIFA 08 |
0.98m |
PES could probably reach similar sales if it wasn't for the fact that they staggered the launch. While 08 survived and did really good, 09 suffered horribly due to staggered launches.
| Game | Sales | |
|---|---|---|
 |
PES 2009: Pro Evolution Soccer | 0.21m |
 |
Pro Evolution Soccer 2008 | 0.97m |
I think PES 2010 will probably do <1/2 of PS3 sales. Had Konami and EA not killed soccer on Wii by delaying and creating a crap version they could both be closer to ~3/4 of PS3 sales for 2010 but now they need to re-earn the trust of Wii owners.
