Sinobi: Wii Sports Resort gives Wii hardware a 24% bump (21,000)

[trestres]

@The Source: The thing is you seem too optimistic when Wii comes to play, and it wasn't an attack at all. I was wrong too (Although my SW expectations were right, but Nintendo only shipped 350k, so you cant sell more than whats available), but I'm now asking if you still believe Wii is going to be up YoY (Second Half). Do you still expect all those games to make the Wii jump or do you believe Wii has found a plateau? You expect Wii sales in Japan to offset the lack of sales in the West, is that a serious statement?

Plus you are expecting big Wii boosts from all those games, and you dont take into account that the sequel to the best selling console game this gen bundled with a new peripheral didn't have any effect at all in HW sales. Why dont you aim for the lowest end rather than expecting unreachable things. I admit I do get carried away by most of the people expecting big things, but the Wii craze has died in Japan, Wii has found it's plateau and I believe we will see it stabilize around there for the rest of the gen.

And how can you be so sure about a pricecut? Nintendo has managed their resources in a terrible way, and you can tell because of the situation that the Wii is in right now, with devs barely announcing anything for the console anymore in Japan, and sales not even rising significantly with the release of the biggest sequel out there. Interest is gone and those projections are illogical from Nintendo, since they expect Wii to sell based only on 1 game every 3 - 4 months. 26 million is impossible, as Wii is down everywhere not just in Japan. Sorry if I look like I'm going after you, but I don't think what you say is probable at all.

Wii sold 31k units on average in the 18 weeks from July to November 2008, while right now the Wii will start July 2009 with sales of 20k or less and during July 2008 Wii sold more than 40k in average. There's no new Wii games released in July save for Punch-Out which will most probably flop there, so sales could end up in the 13-15k at the end of July. Then the MH3 boost is questionable, but already the Wii will be down about 100k before MH3 releases.

All of this points to a very weak second half in Japan. Wii sold 1138k units second half 2008 in Japan, I expect it to end up selling less than 1000k in the second half of 2009, bringing the yearly total to about 1.5 - 1.6 million.