Can Halo 3 break 10 million in America, lifetime?

[Kantor]

seece said:

Kantor said:
No. It'll break 10 million worldwide perhaps by the end of this year, but its sales won't stay relevant for long enough to hit 10 million in America.

In simple maths, it's a 3,096,327 gap. At 32,599 sales per week, that would take 95 weeks. Of course, in reality, it's not going to sell at 33k per week for that long. It, like every other game, will drop off eventually. Other, better first person shooters will come (one is already on 360, and PS3 for that matter, and another releases this holiday for both), and people will lose interest.

Don't agree.

 

Perhaps by the end of this year WW? its virtually 100% dead cert. It can do 500k in the holiday period alone.

Halo 3 is 84 weeks old, other FPS have come and gone and Halo 3 is still selling brilliantly. Halo 2 had great legs also. So it isn't going to just drop off like every other PS360 game.

Christmas and ODST are going to make a big dent into that remaining 3 million.

 

Okay, dead certain it will be at 10 million by the end of this year.

Halo 3 is old, yes, and its legs put the enormous majority of HD games to shame. I'm not saying it will sell 30k one week and then 4k the next, it will be a gradual decrease. I don't really see why ODST would sell copies of Halo 3. Am I missing something? It's a short, budget game (which will still sell a good 6-7 million), which will mainly appeal to people who already bought a 360 for Halo 3 and thus already own Halo 3. Holiday seasons would put a dent in that, but it's still pretty difficult.

I'm not saying it's impossible, just that it's not likely.

EDIT: As you can see by this graph:

http://www.vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=Halo+3+-+X360&reg2=All&game2=&reg3=All&game3=&weeks=100&weekly=1

It sells most in the holiday season. Obviously.

In the first half of the year, it also sells very well. It then drops off around August-September to below 20k per week, then risies again for the holiday. The second holiday was smaller than the first, and the third will be smaller still, and so on.

Sales have remained pretty much steady year on year so far, but the 360 just came off the biggest holiday season it's ever had, and the best sales it's ever had at this time in the year.