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[Kantor]

TWRoO said:

Kantor said:

heruamon said:

Kantor said:

heruamon said:

Jo21 said:

heruamon said:
^^^ Sony has the edge in most of Europe, but certianly not others as a whole...

its head to head in others.

certainly a 299 and GT5 would do wonders :).

 

Just like $149 and Halo OSDT will .

 

I don't think $149 is going to happen for a loooooooooong time.

$179/$249 is the next step for 360, anyway.

 

 

An let me assure you, a $100 or euros or whatever chop for the PS3 isn't goign to happen anyime soon.  That would put Sony's ENTIRE revenue stream in the red (no just gaming) for the next year...yeah...that isn't going to happen.

I know that. $299 isn't happening this year.

And Halo 3 ODST will probably be one of the 5 best sellers for 2009, in fact, it has a good chance of being in the top three. Wii Sports Resort and Dragon Quest IX will beat it, and Gran Turismo might, if it's released early enough. GT5 will have a better opening week, though.

But ODST won't move much hardware, for the simple reason that the majority of people who would buy a 360 for a Halo game did it back in September 2007 with Halo 3.

I would be suprised if DQIX gets more than 3-4 million, so if you are expecting Halo ODST to sell below that then I can give you a number of games that will easily sell more than it.

Wii Fit, Wii Play, Mario Kart Wii, Call of Duty WaW (combined) Pokemon Platinum, Guitar Hero WT (combined), possibly New Super Mario Bros.

Then your on additions of Wii Sports Resort, and GT5 does indeed depend on release.... if it releases in all 3 major regions with 2 months of the year left, then I think it should pass 4 million.


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Even if you take out multiplatform games, if Halo ODST fails to break 4 million, then it won't be in the top 5 best selling games of 2009.... though it will make the top 10.

If you include multiplats, then I have likely missed a number of titles that will exceed 4 million when combined, so I doubt it will manage the top 10.

 

Whoops, I was mistaking DQ9 for something else, but I can't for the life of me think what.

Assuming we are referring to only 2009-launching games, then, ODST will almost definitely be in the top 3.

I would say ODST will do about 2.5 million first week (perhaps a little less), be at 4 million by the end of the year, and finish at around 7 million.

Gran Turismo 5 should do around 2.8 million first week, end of year depends entirely on when it releases, but should be around 4 million as well, and Lifetime sales (which a lot of people underestimate) I would predict to be ~9 million. Worse than any other full GT game, but more than double the highest selling PS3 exclusive.

Wii Sports Resort- It probably won't get a quarter of its predecessor's sales, unless they chuck Wii Sports out and start bundling Wiis with Resort. It's only bundled with MotionPlus, which I honestly don't think many people really want, but looking at what it is, and seeing as it's a sequel to Wii Sports, I would say around 10 million lifetime. By the end of the year...no idea, really. But probably below those two, actually.

Pokemon Platinum: If this counts (it could be a 2008 game), this has definite potential to be best selling 2009-launching game (in 2009).

If we are only talking about SKUs, now that I think about it, I think Halo 3 ODST has the potential to be first in 2009-launching game 2009 sales.  Combined, of course, Modern Warfare 2 will do around 6 million, I would think, but nothing else would really come close.

Except, of course, Starcraft II, but we'll have no VGC numbers for that one.