PS3 has no game to counter Halo ODST this year...

[Kantor]

DirtyP2002 said:

Kantor said:
Okay, even assuming that GT5 doesn't make this holiday season:

Halo 3 ODST: 6 million
(Maybe) Alan Wake: 2.5 million

Total: 8.5 million

vs.

MAG: 3.5 million
Uncharted 2: 3 million
A Crack In Time: 2 million
inFamous: 1.5 million
Heavy Rain: 700k

White Knight Chronicles: ???
Demon's Souls: ???

Total: 10.7 million + ??? x 2.

 

Here are some things that are just wrong with your post:

1. MAG won't sell 3.5 million. I mean, that is just 750k less than CoD4 and almost on MGS4 level. No chance in hell.
2. All other PS3 games predictions are very optimistic. Uncharted 2 should sell 3 millions? Don't think so. Uncharted was heavily bundled and it made it to 2.33 million. This reminds me of Resistance and Resistance 2 or Motorstorm and Motorstorm Pacific Rift.
3. The Xbox360 will have more than 2 games this holiday season.

1) You can't know that. It has 256 player online, it's an FPS, it will likely be heavily advertised, and Killzone 2 is going to make that, so I don't see why MAG can't.

2) Uncharted was not heavily bundled. Bundling began a year after it released. And Uncharted released on a rather pathetic userbase, had a broken street date so the launch was messed up, and was a new IP. Resistance 2 could still outsell Resistance (it's still tracking above) given the time, and MotorStorm was one of two decent games available on the PS3 for a good nine months, while Pacific Rift released amongst far superior games. And how do you know that Uncharted 2 won't be bundled?

3) I'm sure it will. I'm just pointing out that Halo ODST could not sell as much as all of those titles combined, even with the help of Alan Wake. On a side note, those are the only two 360 holiday 2009 exclusives I have heard of. Assuming that Mass Effect 2 and Splinter Cell: Conviction are 2010 titles (though the last one might make 2009, it won't sell 2.2 million to even the scales). I would be shocked if PS3 software beat 360 software for holiday 2009, I'm just pointing out that thinking Halo ODST can stand up to an entire console lineup is ridiculous.