nordlead on 24 April 2009
It was easier to find this than I thought 
| Tbone said: Nord. If someone bets on a game VG$1k for a game selling 50k and his prediction was 35k does he earn more money than someone who predicted 45k and bet VG$500. |
It depends on what the average bet is. The equation goes something like this
(1-(diff/actual))/(average accuracy)*bet
so using your example we get the following scenarios
| average Accuracy | 1k bet | 500 bet | |
| 100 | -300 | -50 | |
| 90 | -222.222 | 0 | |
| 80 | -125 | 62.5 | |
| 70 | 0 | 142.8571 | |
| 60 | 166.6667 | 250 | |
| 50 | 400 | 400 | |
| 40 | 750 | 625 | |
| 30 | 1333.333 | 1000 | |
| 20 | 2500 | 1750 | |
| 10 | 6000 | 4000 | |
| 1 | 69000 | 44500 |
However, I am yet to see someone make more than 50% off of a bet, so I have a feeling there is a cap, but I haven't seen the equation yet. Also, you would have to get very lucky for everyone to bet so far off, and you be so close.
As you can see, the better you do, and the worse the average does, the more likely you are to win VG$.
