nordlead on 12 March 2009
| Tbone said: Nord. If someone bets on a game 1k for a game selling 50k and his prediction was 35k does he earn more money than someone who predicted 45k and bet 500. |
It depends on what the average bet is. The equation goes something like this
(1-(diff/actual))/(average accuracy)*bet
so using your example we get the following scenarios
| average Accuracy | 1k bet | 500 bet | |
| 100 | -300 | -50 | |
| 90 | -222.222 | 0 | |
| 80 | -125 | 62.5 | |
| 70 | 0 | 142.8571 | |
| 60 | 166.6667 | 250 | |
| 50 | 400 | 400 | |
| 40 | 750 | 625 | |
| 30 | 1333.333 | 1000 | |
| 20 | 2500 | 1750 | |
| 10 | 6000 | 4000 | |
| 1 | 69000 | 44500 |
However, I am yet to see someone make more than 50% off of a bet, so I have a feeling there is a cap, but I haven't seen the equation yet. Also, you would have to get very lucky for everyone to bet so far off, and you be so close.
