so you expect them to make a 200 dollar price drop, before 1 years time or at latest 1 years time to european launch. Not happening unless they are really hurting, it would be an admission of failure.
I would say at soonest you will see another drop in 14 months. even that would be very early.
it took the 360 over a year to get a price drop, it will take the wii over a year to get a price drop. the sony price drop this year was, and should be seen as a desperate move. The whole reason europe got packins was it would have had a negative backlash effect taking a price cut so soon there. Game packins cost less than the 100 dollars that they would have dropped the console.
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