I think the price cut will occur before it reaches 15%, maybe 16%. This will make the PS3 (and Wii) slowly start taking market share off the 360. PS3 sales will be slightly above normal in NA on Killzone 2 release week, but not more than an extra 30k. Gran Turismo 5 will give it a massive boost, however.
So to answer your question, no, I don't think the PS3 will fall below 15% marketshare in the Americas, not just in 2009, but at all.







