Poll: Will the Wii pass the PS2 in sales?

[Final-Fan]

KBG29 said:
It will not happen. The PS2 is going to continue to sell well for a few more years, and will probably hit around 140M. The Wii just will not sell as long as the PS2. Their are a lot of reasons why.

1. Nintendos next system will be out faster than the PS3 came out after the PS2.
2. Nintendos new system will not be 400 dollars more than the Wii when it launches.
3. Nintendo will kill off the Wii when its next system releases, which won't be bad because it will be backwards compatable and probably only 299.99.
4. The Wii will start to die off in the US and EU fairly soon.
5. PS3 will outsell the PS2 in 2015.

I don't know if everyone has noticed, but the PS3 and 360 are slowly starting to overtake the Wii in the US. The last 2 weeks in a row the 2 of them have outsold the Wii. Back in the PS2's hay day the Xbox and Cube were not doing that. Their was only a brief period when MS dropped the price, and one point when Sony had a cross over problem for fat to slimline. I think we will see the PS3 and 360 each outselling the Wii in the US by the end of next year.

The next place to go over to the HD systems will be EU. I think the PS3 will do the brute of the sales thier, and expect it to start toping Wii by the Summer time if GT5 is out. If GT5 does not come out until fall it could take longer, but with the amount of games developed in EU for the PS3 it may still happen around that time. You have to take into account that Singstar, Buzz, MGS, GT, The Getaway, and Killzone are all very big franchises in EU, and they are also very big fans of the PS EYE.

Japan you never know what they will do next. If the right stuff happened the 360 could all the sudden be number one. The Japanese are a very United bunch, and when they start moving in one direction, it usally pulls everyone in. It could be very possible for Sony to get a big turn around after TGS, but that is TBD.

1. This is complete speculation, based on the Wii's lesser technological sophistication. Maybe it's true. But it's not a reliable prediction at all.

2. This is a good point, but it doesn't take into accaount that the vast majority of the PS2's sales to date were from before the PS3 launch. I will address your prediction of massive post-PS3 PS2 sales later.

3. Nintendo didn't kill off the Gamecube like MS did the Xbox -- it just died. This is not an unreasonable prediction, but again I see no basis for it.

4. Why do you think this? Without any reason it's just another "The Wii is going to TOTALLY die 6 months from now" prediction.

5. AHAHAHAHAHANO.

I don't know if anyone has noticed, but the Wii hasn't gotten its blockbuster games yet and it's still producing well under demand. Back in the PS2's heyday it wasn't doing that a year after launch, nor selling as quickly. I think we will see the Wii outselling the PS3 and 360 combined, despite stronger sales from both, by the end of next year.