Is there a chance the PS3 WON'T hit 20m this year?

[goddog]

Max King of the Wild said:

goddog said:

Max King of the Wild said:

goddog said:

CrazzyMan said:

perpride???

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 24th Nov 2007 to 29th Dec 2007:

Any reason for PS3 to sell worse with incoming LBP bundles in Europe, PES in Japan, new 160GB models, and other bundles? Not to mention, that PS3 is doing MUCH better in Europe, then VGC estimates are. =)

beacuse its not going to get a price cut like it did last year. the price cut was the key to holiday sales last year, with out them sony has given christmas to wii, and 360

 

 

 Flawed logic.

 

there is no flaw in my logic, each price range has a saturation point where sales tail off or do not respond to seasonal boost like they have in the past. sony is at that point right now, if they do not lower prices it will effect holiday sales, there is no if ands or buts.

for further proof check this thread http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=48088   i didnt make any bets in in it, but i fallow it, because there is some top notch data crunching going on in there 

 

 Ok first off the Ps3 sales have been steady all year... now if it started dipping at some point your saturation theory would hold up.

Secondly I already showed data in this thread about last year compared to this year numbers. This year they are 50k behind and Japan making up 30k of that by itself. In others is tracking higher and in America its track 20k less. EDIT: completely forgot to explain why Ps3 sales have been dipping... BECAUSE THE JAPANESE GOT A HUGE RELEASE AT THE SAME TIME THAT APPEALED TO THEM!

http://www.vgchartz.com/games/game.php?id=7695

If Japan starts picking up (Because they havent been interested in the Ps3 AT all this year) I'm sure the Ps3 can track just like they did last year (maybe a little less)

Thirdly need I remind you ioi undertracked the ps3 by about 500k last year what makes you so sure he's got it right this time? (Oh and if he kept his data around this week would actually be tracking higher than last year if he didnt adjust)

he also over tracked them if you believe the npd in the states by 100k so far this year. so do not expect much in the way of under tracking, and the fact that it is steady in a holiday season, and not growing does show saturation. yes I saw your numbers on japan,*edit* (sorry misread the numbers first) europe  Americas  though is also no a sight slide for the holidays, that should be very worry some as that has been sony strong hold.     though it is a bad sign not as bad as europe would be... the 360 is also down in americas, as a general response to the credit crunch.

and as for making 30k up with a big release, that is also a bad sign, it should not take a big release to keep up with where it was heading last year.