Besides Halo 3 and possibly GT5, any other 10 million sellers for PS360?

[Kantor]

atma998 said:

Oyvoyvoyv said:

Regarding GT5, I wrote this in another thread.

 

Compared to GT3, this is the case.

 

GT3 released in Americas/Others with 13M Ps3s WW.

GT5 should release with at least double of that.

 

GT3 did probably not sell at all after February 05, as then GT4 was released in Americas/Others. At that time the sales of Ps2 were at 80M. Realistically, GT3 didn't sell over 10K weekly for more than 2 years. That means that it sold at least 12M of its sales with an userbase of 13-50M.

GT5 will probably also sell 10K + for max 2 years only. If we assume that Ps3 makes 10M a year after GT5 is released, it will sell pretty much all its sales with an userbase of 30-50M, and that is looking pessimistic at it.

 

So I'd say that GT5 has a better situation to sell much than GT3 did.

 

 Like I said in another thread :

 

Ok let's use logic here...

GT4 did 10 millions on a userbase of 125 millions PS2. Why a GT5 on a 20-30 millions userbase would do better?

GT3 did about 14 millions on a smaller userbase right but also on the most popular console of its time. So the userbase increased very quickly as GT3 sales.

Now PS3 is a far different story. It's the less popular console of its time. Plus GT5 have solid competition this gen in the name of Motorstorm. Also no game on PS3 is close to 10 millions even GTAIV which is considered by many as 'the game of the gen'.

conclusion : GT5 will do around 4 millions LTD Worldwide.

And as I replied in another thread, GTA4 is not the game of the gen, nor is it even close. MotorStorm does not touch Gran Turismo, the Prologue of GT5 sold better than the Prologue of GT4.

Even if it's not 4 million, I say 8 million is a reasonable bet. GTA4 sold 4.6 million, DESPITE being a same-day release on the then far more popular 360. If it was an exclusive, it could easily have reached 8 million, rivalled Halo 3's sales, and put the PS3 in the lead for good. Regardless of its quality, or lack thereof (no it's a good game, but not worth these ridiculous 10/10s) it's a Grand Theft Auto and is guaranteed to sell well.

Also, there were some 15 million PS3s when GTA4 was released. By the time Gran Turismo 5 comes out, it will probably be 25-30 million, depending on when it is finally finished.