How well will Gran Turismo 5 do?

[Kantor]

atma998 said:
Ok let's use logic here...

GT4 did 10 millions on a userbase of 125 millions PS2. Why a GT5 on a 20-30 millions userbase would do better?

GT3 did about 14 millions on a smaller userbase right but also on the most popular console of its time. So the userbase increased very quickly as GT3 sales.

Now PS3 is a far different story. It's the less popular console of its time. Plus GT5 have solid competition this gen in the name of Motorstorm. Also no game on PS3 is close to 10 millions even GTAIV which is considered by many as 'the game of the gen'.

conclusion : GT5 will do around 4 millions LTD Worldwide.

1) Yes, GT3 sold much better, because it was a better game. GT5 will probably be best in series

2) GT5 won't sell consoles? I say the PS3 will beat Wii WW that week. If MGS4 can do it, why not the best selling exclusive on both the PS1 and PS2?

3) Did you just say MotorStorm was competition for Gran Turismo 5? LOL! Pretty good offroad racer versus the most realistic driving sim ever made, the best selling racing series ever made, the highest rated racing series of all time. Tough contest.

4) People consider GTA4 game of the gen? News to me. Find three of these people. Please note I mean PEOPLE, not REVIEWERS. And how many games are bought by reviewers, compared to the general public?

5) If you add the PS3 and 360 versions of GTA4 together, you get 11 million copies. Obviously the PS3 version of a multiplat won't sell as well as an exclusive- note that San Andreas was a timed exclusive, and therefore exclusive for a full year.

6) 4 million? I'll admit that these predictions of 15 million are a little over the top, but I predict 8-12 million WW LTD.

EDIT: It's worth noting that, excluding PSN downloads, GT5 Prologue has sold 2.23 million copies. And it's basically a demo. GT4 Prologue sold 1.36 million and GT4 went on to sell 9.51 million copies. So I say 10 million isn't that unlikely.