| leo-j said: Were the "F#ck" did anyone on this site predict 40 million consoles for the WII? Im telling you more than 70% of the people on this site predicted the wii to sell Nearly 60 million consoles, and at lowest 45 million. If anything the wii predictions are crazy, some way to low, some way out there(my old prediction included as well). Also the PS3 can manage to sell 4-5million consoles, it did it last year with very little amount of AAA titiles, and this year it has an amazing line up, why wouldnt it sell 4-5million units? |
1) Dec '07: Source
| '08 | LTD @ End of '08 | '09 | LTD @ End of '09 |
|
 |
8.3M |
24M |
7.8M |
32M |
 |
8.7M |
17.1M |
9.2M |
26.3M |
 |
22M |
40.5M |
24M |
64.5M |
 |
11M |
40.3M |
10M |
50.3M |
 |
31M |
94.7M |
28M |
122.6M |
Note that the PS3 outperformed my expectations the most so far, but I also gave it huge credit in the first 4 months of the year for doing better than I thought it would (even pointing it out in several articles I wrote), and I also recognized it for the Wii as well in mid-Feb:
"I'm starting to think I may have aimed a bit low given the sales the last few weeks.. hopefully within a month we will have a clear trend we can look at. "
2) April '08: Source
And then in Early April I predicted end of October #'s as this:
Wii: 32.5m-33.5m
PS3: 16.5m-17.5m
360: 21.6m-22.6m
And in the same post predicted Year end totals of:
Wii: 40.1m-41.1m
PS3: 20.7m-21.7m
360: 25.2m-26.2m
And in that I post I even correctly called it when I said:
"Furthermore these numbers are heavily based on some of the slowest gaming months of the year so they are likely low."
This was correct for the Wii & 360 as both are already in the upper part of their range with another 2 weeks of data to come, and relative to those predictions I actually overshot the PS3.
3) May '08: Source
Nintendo revised production numbers and put out 2.4M monthly starting in July
This of course is what started me down the path to rethinking my Wii prediction up to the ~45M that it is today.
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| To Each Man, Responsibility |
