Back on topic here, my answer is Fable 2 first month, tie first 6 months, LTD LBP. It'll be a bitter victory, as many topics claiming ownage of LBP will be created if indeed Fable 2 does outsell LBP.
The wildcard here is Japan. That makes the question unpredictable. It's fairly certain that Fable 2 will reach at least 75% of the original's sales, however with the fairly large ad campaign(via commercials that I'm sure no Sony fanboy, or undercover-Sony fanboy in disguise, has ever seen on television via anecdotal evidence), a decent following after the first game, and an ad spot on nearly every hard-drive sold since E3 last year. My guess is it would meet the sales of the first game, but be hampered by other big releases like Fallout 3, which while great, will do worse numbers on the 360 than Fable, simply due to being a multiplat, and the fact that Fable is a fresher IP(which means its last itteration came out sooner), as well as it getting a week jump on launch, which is also an advantage.
I'd assume LBP would also be affected by Fallout 3 sales, yet while you spout things about demographic, I would easily argue that there is no demographics on the PS3. The userbase is 90 percent core gamers who had a PS2, and loved it, 1 percent casuals, and 9 percent Blu-Ray players. Yeah, I pulled those numbers out of my ass, and that is just my opinion, but it's right, so just argue amongst yourselves.
I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.
NO NO, NO NO NO.







