GranTurismo said:
I was just thinking about the sales of the wii and was wondering how many it will sell and when the major sales for it will stop. Will it stop when it hits a certain number and pretty much die off or will the sales continue to get higher. We have all heard the reports that 10% of the wii's sales are people who never owned a system last gen, so leaves us with 10mil gamers who own the wii. But where are these gamers coming from that own a wii, are they xbox, GC or PS2 owners. I would imagine that 85% of the 10mil owned a GC last gen. Does this mean that all the GC owners are just making the switch faster to next gen, considering the GC died about 2 years ago and once the GC owners have jumped to the wii will its sales slow down and contine with the 10% new gamers and 15% gamers who never owned a GC. So that would mean that sales would only be 25% of what the system sells right now, if this is true. How do you guys feel about this, do you feel i'm right do you feel i'm wrong. Do you just want to swear and yell at me until you pass out. Do you wish to make your own assumptions of whats happening or do you just want to sit back and watch me get yelled at by wii owners |
Honestly I think your personal biases are allowing you to produce incorrect assumptions on top of flawed premises in order to justify your worldview ...
The Wii is currently selling primarily to existing gamers and which are most likely made up of a healthy mix of PS2, XBox and Gamecube owners; probably mostly made up of early adopters for those systems because (at $250) it is currently far above the price of what a typical console gamer is willing to spend on a system. What this means is that the current userbase is protentially made up mostly by people who never owned a Gamecube and possibly never owned an N64.
The Wii probably won't just stop selling because there is nothing on the horizon which can replace it and it has sold well enough to get a lot of third party support; even though the vast majority of the games will not be particularly good, the Wii will probably have more third party games released in 2008 then the Gamecube had in its lifetime.
Now, the question I would ask you is "What would have to happen in order to demonstrate to you that the Wii is hear to stay" or similarly "What would have to happen in order to demonstrate to you that the PS3 is in trouble"