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What do you think will be the PS3's LTD sales?

Forums - Sales Discussion - What do you think will be the PS3's LTD sales?

Chrizum said:
I predict around 50-55 million when the PS3 has stopped selling. Has a small chance at 60 million if things turn around, but higher than 60 is near impossible.

To put it in perspective:

360: 60-65 million
Wii: 140-160 million

 

 PS3 and 360 selling even close to 60 million will probably mean Wii has breached 200 million easy, that's the only way the market will be big enough



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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Avinash_Tyagi said:
RPG said:
leo-j said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
PDF said:
50-70m

I think a price cut in Europe will have huge affect on sales in that region. I also believe at some point in time Japan will come around and contribute more to the PS3 sales than they have. I think PS3 will do fine in America but has lost to the 360 in that region.

I would also put the 360 at 50-70m

 

 With Monster Hunter and Dragon quest heading to Wii, PS3 is a lame duck in Japan

 

 I guess Gran turismo and Final Fantasy wont do anything.

He is very right wing Nintendo, no hope for that one. PS3 will do fine in Japan overall, hell just this year RE5, SF4, Yakuza 3 and FFXIII will do more then nicely for the PS3.

 

 

 I'm being realistic, PS3 will never get close to Wii in Japan

 

 It'll stick to selling ~ 1/3 of the Wii there. It will sell in the higher end of 5M (possibly 6M), while the Wii reaches ~ 15M.

For a comparison...

GC vs Ps3 = 4 vs 18M

N64 vs Ps2 = 5 vs 20M

Saturn vs SNES = 3.5M vs 17M

 

The Ps3 will be the closest to the winning console in Japan ever...

 



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

60-85 million LTD.I predict when the PS3 drops it's price to 349$ at the end of March 09 it will see an uptick in sells between 1.5-3 million units.Bringing it's sales at the end of Dec.09 to 30.5-33 million easily.By the end of Dec.10 when the price of the PS3 is at 299$,it will see world wide sales between 15-17 million for the year.Bringing it's sales total to at least 45.5-50 million.

 



End of 2016 prediction

PS4:43M-46M

XBONE:28M-33M

Avinash_Tyagi said: 

 PS3 and 360 selling even close to 60 million will probably mean Wii has breached 200 million easy, that's the only way the market will be big enough

 

 I loved how you changed your prediction from 60million to 45 million for wii in the end of 2008.



 

mM
leo-j said:
Avinash_Tyagi said: 

 PS3 and 360 selling even close to 60 million will probably mean Wii has breached 200 million easy, that's the only way the market will be big enough

 

 I loved how you changed your prediction from 60million to 45 million for wii in the end of 2008.

 

 I didn't have 60 million, that was John Lucas, my 2008 prediction has been constant since 2007



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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I remember you had 60 million.



 

mM
Oyvoyvoyv said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
RPG said:
leo-j said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
PDF said:
50-70m

I think a price cut in Europe will have huge affect on sales in that region. I also believe at some point in time Japan will come around and contribute more to the PS3 sales than they have. I think PS3 will do fine in America but has lost to the 360 in that region.

I would also put the 360 at 50-70m

 

 With Monster Hunter and Dragon quest heading to Wii, PS3 is a lame duck in Japan

 

 I guess Gran turismo and Final Fantasy wont do anything.

He is very right wing Nintendo, no hope for that one. PS3 will do fine in Japan overall, hell just this year RE5, SF4, Yakuza 3 and FFXIII will do more then nicely for the PS3.

 

 

 I'm being realistic, PS3 will never get close to Wii in Japan

 

 It'll stick to selling ~ 1/3 of the Wii there. It will sell in the higher end of 5M (possibly 6M), while the Wii reaches ~ 15M.

For a comparison...

GC vs Ps3 = 4 vs 18M

N64 vs Ps2 = 5 vs 20M

Saturn vs SNES = 3.5M vs 17M

 

The Ps3 will be the closest to the winning console in Japan ever...

 

 

 Ecept the Wii will keep selling while the PS3 dies out over time



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

@Avinash

Are you certain?

WHy would someone buy a $249.99 wii over a $299 ps3?



 

mM
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
RPG said:
leo-j said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
PDF said:
50-70m

I think a price cut in Europe will have huge affect on sales in that region. I also believe at some point in time Japan will come around and contribute more to the PS3 sales than they have. I think PS3 will do fine in America but has lost to the 360 in that region.

I would also put the 360 at 50-70m

 

 With Monster Hunter and Dragon quest heading to Wii, PS3 is a lame duck in Japan

 

 I guess Gran turismo and Final Fantasy wont do anything.

He is very right wing Nintendo, no hope for that one. PS3 will do fine in Japan overall, hell just this year RE5, SF4, Yakuza 3 and FFXIII will do more then nicely for the PS3.

 

 

 I'm being realistic, PS3 will never get close to Wii in Japan

 

 It'll stick to selling ~ 1/3 of the Wii there. It will sell in the higher end of 5M (possibly 6M), while the Wii reaches ~ 15M.

For a comparison...

GC vs Ps3 = 4 vs 18M

N64 vs Ps2 = 5 vs 20M

Saturn vs SNES = 3.5M vs 17M

 

The Ps3 will be the closest to the winning console in Japan ever...

 

 

 Ecept the Wii will keep selling while the PS3 dies out over time

 

 ... And how much do you expect the Wii to sell?



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

leo-j said:
I remember you had 60 million.

 

 No i'm pretty certain I did not



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)