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Has The Wii Peaked?

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I don't see the Wii peaking till Year 5. Yes, that's right, Year 5.
It's all part of Nintendo's 15 year plan. You'll see...



Quem disse que a boca é tua?

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Dadinho é o caralho! Meu nome agora é Zé Pequeno!

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Rol laying down the sick burns.
It hasn't peaked.



My Games of 2011:

The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword

Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim

Super Mario 3D Land

Uncharted 3: Drake's Deception

dude17761991hatp said:
Rol laying down the sick burns.
It hasn't peaked.

I agree, but what about the Wii



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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
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      I don't know how people still don't seem to get it. To me, I it seems fairly obvious that there's plenty of potential for Nintendo to boost supply. Most of what could be said on the subject already has, but I'd still like to add my own personal take, on the situation, anyways.

      Production is up, from earlier this year and Foxconn is already preparing to increase production even more. Companies don't increase production, just to turn around and lower it, immediately afterwards. That alone would be enough for the Wii to sell better next year. The Wii has been trending from launch, 5 mil a year better than the DS, which is going to sell at least 32 mil this year. With the release of DSi and expanding to new regions, the DS will likely sell better next year. Since, the Wii is still in its 1st phase and hasn't pulled off any of the same tactics as the DS (price cut, bundling, new colors, model redesign), I'd expect the Wii to peak higher or at least close to the DS.

      With supply as high as it is and the shelf life still managing to be extremely short, it seems clear that demand has in fact increased significantly. The shelf life of the Wii is far from being close to any other system, including the DS. I'm not even sure what the OP means, when he says "no shortages this year". It certainly had shortages at the beginning of the year and during the holidays, still wasn't continuously stocked.

       If you're looking for a sign of when the Wii is going to peak, look at it's perhipials. Wii Fit is definitely having major shortages and will be even more popular once, there is more sw that supports it. I'm sure new games supporting Wii Speak and DSi interaction will help, too. M+ hasn't even come out, let alone had major support and AI, the company that designs dev tools for Wii's peripherals, is working on something new for the Wii.

       There's just no way sales couldn't be bigger in 09. Once, it reaches past 50% marketshare and it becomes well known that, Nintendo officially owns this gen, consumers focus will shift mostly to the Wii. Leading consoles usually peak during their 3rd year, in evolutionary cycles and in their 4th year, during revolutionary cycles, but with the market expanding as rapidly as it is, who can't say where the Wii's peak is?

@reask: Just to sum everthing up, I think you might need to reevaluate your analysis, aNYWAY.

@arsenicazure:  The 360 did get a boost from it's price cut, but it didn't really phase Nintendo. All that really proves, is that once a console is the IN console, the other consoles cutting their prices, has a minor effect, long term. Once consumers' interest begins to wan, the longer a company waits, the less impact a price reduction will have. Sony already needed to cut it's price, but couldn't, due to their financial situation and they've already stated that, they're focusing more on their profit margin, than on marketshare, at the moment.

      As far as game list go, I think the HD systems wil be close to par with where they already are, while Ninty will be more competitive, not that it really matters a whole lot, in the sales department. I wouldn't be surprised, if  by the end of 2010, things became a little 1 sided, in Nintendo's favor.



Yep the only console which has peaked so far is the X360 in spite of huge price cutts it's still falling most of the extra sales it's getting extra are at the PS2 and PS3's expense not the Wii's.
Hope the PS3 can boost sales with some price cutts in 2009 But we all know it will only be at X360's expense, or just be used as a Blu-ray/DVD player.
The Wii is ready to go for 60% market by 2010.



PS3 number 1 fan

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Great post NintendoMonopoly but Im not sure about 1 small part. I didn't think the Ds has had a price cut at all. But the rest is a terrific write up.



 


 

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Peaked, lol, yeah right, Nintendo is just getting warmed up, now we see that they can easily sell over a million a week

 

Yes, during the holiday season. I suppose the 360 will stay at 800k as well then throughout 2009?



End of 2016 hardware sales:

Wii U: 15 million. PS4: 54 million. One: 30 million. 3DS: 64.8 million. PSVita: 15.2 million.

Imthelegend said:
Great post NintendoMonopoly but Im not sure about 1 small part. I didn't think the Ds has had a price cut at all. But the rest is a terrific write up.

Well the original DS had a £10 price cut when the DSlite came in, but no, the DSlite is still the same price as what the DS launched at I think.

 



Mummelmann said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Peaked, lol, yeah right, Nintendo is just getting warmed up, now we see that they can easily sell over a million a week

 

Yes, during the holiday season. I suppose the 360 will stay at 800k as well then throughout 2009?

 

 Wii is a different beast than the 360, the 360 will fall as demand slackens, but Wii is ruled by supply, if they release a million a week then they will sell them, they just can't, because they would run out fast



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

TWRoO said:
Imthelegend said:
Great post NintendoMonopoly but Im not sure about 1 small part. I didn't think the Ds has had a price cut at all. But the rest is a terrific write up.
Well the original DS had a £10 price cut when the DSlite came in, but no, the DSlite is still the same price as what the DS launched at I think.

Wikipedia sez:  The DS launched at $150 (in NA); then the price was cut to $129 when Advance Wars hit; then DS Lite launched at $129, which is the current price. 

I seem to recall that when the DS Lite came out the DS "Phat" had a $10 price cut to help it out the door, but that may have been a retailer thing.

In Europe, the DS launched at £100/€150, and so did the DS Lite, and so it remains.



Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
The old smileys: ; - ) : - ) : - ( : - P : - D : - # ( c ) ( k ) ( y ) If anyone knows the shortcut for , let me know!
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I have the most epic death scene ever in VGChartz Mafia.  Thanks WordsofWisdom!