By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict the Next Direct (Winter 2020 Edition)

 

When will the next Nintendo Direct hit?

January 21st-25th 4 6.25%
 
January 26th-31st 7 10.94%
 
February 1st-7th 3 4.69%
 
February 8th-14th 15 23.44%
 
February 15th-21st 3 4.69%
 
February 22nd-29th 10 15.63%
 
March 1st-7th 9 14.06%
 
March 8th-14th 1 1.56%
 
March 15th-21st 8 12.50%
 
We're not getting one; Don't Care 4 6.25%
 
Total:64
SpokenTruth said:
cycycychris said:
Maybe next week :/

Right in front of Animal Crossing?

I can understand many reasons for there not to be a Direct in March, but do you really think a Direct would take sales or marketing or messaging away from Animal Crossing?  I think the hype levels for AC:NH are about as high as they can be and there's almost no lukewarm reception to the title (outside those who "aren't into" the series).  Holding off a Direct for a week isn't likely to sway uninterested buyers anyway. The only way I can see this having merit is if something is releasing super quick (like in April or early May) that would make an AC fan flinch since they might not be able to buy both.  But, my gosh, this is Animal Crossing we're talking about here.  Whatever else is coming can wait...gotta get that island started right away.



Around the Network
SpokenTruth said:
super_etecoon said:

I can understand many reasons for there not to be a Direct in March, but do you really think a Direct would take sales or marketing or messaging away from Animal Crossing?  I think the hype levels for AC:NH are about as high as they can be and there's almost no lukewarm reception to the title (outside those who "aren't into" the series).  Holding off a Direct for a week isn't likely to sway uninterested buyers anyway. The only way I can see this having merit is if something is releasing super quick (like in April or early May) that would make an AC fan flinch since they might not be able to buy both.  But, my gosh, this is Animal Crossing we're talking about here.  Whatever else is coming can wait...gotta get that island started right away.

Can you think of a time they released a general ND a week or two before the launch of any other big game?  Ever?

I'm assuming you're speaking the truth, but I haven't looked it up yet.  Isn't there an investors meetup coming up soon?  So the window would be the week after?  Or are we assuming Nintendo will just report to investors (in this global climate) with empty hands and big promises for the rest of the year?  None of this is meant confrontationally.  It just seems weird to be holding their cards this close to their chest even with those with the most at stake.





SpokenTruth said:

DK: TF ain't AC.  That's a mid-tier game.  They aren't going to steal thunder from AC. 

What benefit would they gain from publishing a ND a week prior to AC rather than waiting until after AC? 

Wait so it's fine to steal thunder from smaller games that need it more? You've explained exactly why it's thunder can't be stolen, because it's a big game. AC sales are not front-loaded and there's inevitably going to be games announced while it's still selling anyway, so whether the direct comes before or after AC makes no difference. Not saying it will happen next week, but there's no rule saying it can't.

NightlyPoe said:

Daemon ex Machina and Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3 were both published by Nintendo.

I do see now that I check that Bravely Default II is also being published by Nintendo, so I suppose that would count.  No More Heroes 3 is straight-up 3rd party so it doesn't count.  Also, it was announced during E3, not the Game Awards.

Okay we're up to two games in TBA 2000.  Woo!

Why make that distinction though? It's still a Switch exclusive and thus part of the reasons to own a Switch specifically. It's only fair n accurate that it's counted, I wasn't just desperately trying to make the list bigger haha.



SpokenTruth said:

Ask anybody in marketing if they think it's a good idea to do as you suggest and every single one of them will emphatically tell you no. 

A rule saying not to?  Of course not.  But a well established marketing school of thought with data, case studies, expert opinion and history?  Yes.

Oh, and the bigger the product, IP or event, the less you interfere with the focus on it just prior to release.  This is how marketing goes.

I didn't suggest to do anything, and if you're still trying to suggest AC's thunder can be stolen, I think people care more about AC than your marketing school.



Around the Network
SpokenTruth said:

Avid fans, yes.  Gamers that don't even know it's about to release, maybe.  Don't ignore the entire spectrum of gamers and their volume of games and release dates.

Again, ask any marketing specialist if Nintendo should release and big information dump on other products right before the release of one of their biggest products and they'll call you nuts.

But don't just look at Nintendo, check out all other game publishers.  Hell, check out all entertainment products.  You just don't do it.

You needa stop ignoring the fact that it's a big game ergo people at large are aware of it, as well as the fact that this series sells on it's legs ergo Nintendo is inevitably going to talk about other games as it's selling.

Good for all those other game publishers, but we're specifically talking about Nintendo and Animal Crossing here, and Nintendo and Animal Crossing hold the most relevance in such a discussion, certainly more than your marketing school. Also if they did do a direct then, it would obviously promote Animal Crossing some more much like last year's E3 did for Mario Maker and one before that for ARMS.

Anyway I'm bored of this conversation over something that probably wont happen anyway. You wanna believe a direct next week would be noticeably bad for AC sales? That people who want the game are gonna see the direct and suddenly decide they don't want it anymore or forget it exist? Meh fair enough!

NightlyPoe said:

You're asking why I'm making a distinction between Nintendo-published games and non-Nintendo-published games when discussing Nintendo's release schedule?

Uh yes? Why make a list based on whether or not Nintendo published it instead of one based on exclusives? I could better understand if it was Nintendo developed, but published? That's just odd to me.



SpokenTruth said:

I said neither of these things.

Surely you know what implication means, or perhaps "stealing thunder" means something different to you than it does everyone else.



I think corona virus has more thing to do with this situation than Nintendo waiting AC release so it doesn't spread the attention for its big entrance or they actually have nothing ready to show (let's all agree that's absurd).

They are probably waiting the switch line production normalize so then bring all the news.



 

 

We reap what we sow

NightlyPoe said:
160rmf said:

I think corona virus has more thing to do with this situation than Nintendo waiting AC release so it doesn't spread the attention for its big entrance or they actually have nothing ready to show (let's all agree that's absurd).

They are probably waiting the switch line production normalize so then bring all the news.

I keep hearing this theory, but I keep asking, "Why?"

Software production is relatively easy and can be obtained from multiple sources.  Why would a virus stop Nintendo from even announcing future games?

What's the point to announce new games, entice new people aboard with the hype if there's almost no HW available? Building a bigger userbase is more important for Nintendo right now



 

 

We reap what we sow

RingoGaSuki said:
I think coronavirus has thrown off their planned early-year direct. Their production lines are shut down and it doesn't really make sense to hype people up for Switch when it's impossible to buy one (literally impossible here in Japan; going to be progressively more difficult in the West in the next few weeks). I want one ASAP, but I wouldn't be surprised if we get into April without one tbh

production started up again, and seems only to be a problem for the big spenders like Apple who will see a -10% decrease in total amount of deliveries.