I don't know, Holiday 2021 could be possible for Fable. Don't forget that Playground started working on that RPG in 2017, even before MS bought them. If they were working on the Fable game as a 2nd party game before MS bought them and made them 1st party, it would have 4 years of development as a Holiday 2021 title. Though they are still small and haven't expanded to full AAA size yet, same as The Initiative, both studios do have most of the key leadership and senior positions filled now, and it is rumored that MS has some of their other 1st party studios assisting them with the grunt work while they look for grunts of their own to fill the final positions. Fable then could have 4 years of development as a Holiday 2021 game, about 3 of which with either a full AAA team, or the equivalent of a full AAA team working on the game.
If Fable isn't their big Holiday 2021 AAA, I would assume it will either be Obsidian's rumored Skyrim like Pillars game (which has supposedly been in development since 2018 with over 100 devs), or a 2nd party developed AAA, such as the long rumored story driven, 3rd person action- adventure stealth Perfect Dark reboot developed as a collab between Coalition and a 2nd party AAA studio.
Last update from Morgoth IIRC was that 'Perfect Dark' is still in the concept phase and in a more dangerous place than it was a few months ago, aka it's at risk of not being greenlit, that is of course if it's even Perfect Dark that The Coalition is working on, it sure sounds like it though.
Big fail on their part if that game wasn't greenlit years ago. Should have listened to Kenn Lobb and worked to make that game ready as a 2020 launch title to take advantage of when the first game was set.
It's also possible that the Coaltion game is not Perfect Dark, it could be a reboot of Shangheist for all we know, from back when they were Black Tusk. There was another insider last May who said that a 3rd person Perfect Dark reboot had already been in development at a 2nd party studio for awhile, with Rare assisting with development, in a similar situation to Battletoads. That insider said that it may get announced at E3 2019, which it wasn't, but he did say may, not definitely, MS could have delayed the announce until E3 2020 because they decided to make it a next-gen/cross-gen game.
Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 14 January 2020