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Switch vs PS4 2019

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Which console will sell more and by how much?

Switch by 20 million plus 9 6.92%
 
Switch by 15-20 million 1 0.77%
 
Switch by 10-15 million 10 7.69%
 
Switch by 5-10 million 44 33.85%
 
Switch by under 5 million 44 33.85%
 
PS4 by under 5 million 14 10.77%
 
PS4 by 5-10 million 2 1.54%
 
PS4 by 10-15 million 1 0.77%
 
PS4 by 15-20 million 1 0.77%
 
PS4 by 20 million plus 4 3.08%
 
Total:130

Nintendo is stumbling into 2019 without a Direct and clear release schedule, so the first half of the year won't be up by much. PS4 price cut is a given, so a steep decline can be ruled out. I voted Switch by under 5m.

Switch - 19-20m
PS4 - 15-16m



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I think Switch will outsell PS4 this year, mostly thanks to the US and Japan. I don't think Switch will outsell PS4 by millions



Nothing to see here, move along

I concur with Rol.



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RolStoppable said:
Nintendo is stumbling into 2019 without a Direct and clear release schedule, so the first half of the year won't be up by much. PS4 price cut is a given, so a steep decline can be ruled out. I voted Switch by under 5m.

Switch - 19-20m
PS4 - 15-16m

I have to agree RE the 1st quarter of 2019. With no direct (yet) and very little other than Yoshi on the release schedule maybe my 2019 Nintendo predictions are overly optimistic. Every day I wake up and check the news to see when the next Nintendo direct with a ton of games is coming.... Every day I wait.....



RolStoppable said:
Nintendo is stumbling into 2019 without a Direct and clear release schedule, so the first half of the year won't be up by much. PS4 price cut is a given, so a steep decline can be ruled out. I voted Switch by under 5m.

Switch - 19-20m
PS4 - 15-16m

Agreed. I think both are going to get a $50 cut this year, which will help the Switch be up, as will Pokemon, and will help the PS4's decline not be as sharp as some are predicting.



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RolStoppable said:
Nintendo is stumbling into 2019 without a Direct and clear release schedule, so the first half of the year won't be up by much. PS4 price cut is a given, so a steep decline can be ruled out. I voted Switch by under 5m.

Switch - 19-20m
PS4 - 15-16m

Doesn't look like it right now.

Switch is selling well above last years numbers if Japan can be of any indication. They also came with a release date for Yoshi at end of March already, so we're not flying totally blind. A Direct will come eventually, and if Fire Emblem releases for Goldenweek as I'm speculating, then 1H will be up by quite a bit.

December NPD shows that a pricecut for the PS4 is way overdue, and might not even be enough to keep sales steady. 15M is the maximum I see for the PS4 this year, and that includes a pricecut before Goldenweek.



RolStoppable said:
Nintendo is stumbling into 2019 without a Direct and clear release schedule, so the first half of the year won't be up by much. PS4 price cut is a given, so a steep decline can be ruled out. I voted Switch by under 5m.

Switch - 19-20m
PS4 - 15-16m

Very sound analysis. I wholeheartedly agree.



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Rafie said:
RolStoppable said:
Nintendo is stumbling into 2019 without a Direct and clear release schedule, so the first half of the year won't be up by much. PS4 price cut is a given, so a steep decline can be ruled out. I voted Switch by under 5m.

Switch - 19-20m
PS4 - 15-16m

Very sound analysis. I wholeheartedly agree.

They aren't really though aren't hey? Japan is up a lot over last year and one nintendo direct is all it takes to get everything into focus. Sure no mp4 but so much more. Because we have all these studios who would have to be doing nothing for 2019 to be shitty



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I'll revisit this thread after the first quarter of 2019 and check the sales figures. It might shed some light into how the year is shaping up and Nintendo should have put out a lot more information on what games are coming by then.



I'm updating this thread after VG Chartz is now showing console sales until 30/3 which is one day away from Q1 complete. This current results are interesting.
2019 to date -
Nintendo Switch - 3.4 million
Playstation 4 - 3.1 million

This means in a 2 horse race the Switch is currently selling 52.31% compared to 47.69% for the PS4 in 2019. As stated in the OP the PS4 is a beast and if the Switch can't comfortably beat it in 2019 it would be a great achievement for Sony. I think that most will agree that Nintendo has enough big hitters in 2019 to get the job done but with such a slim margin at this stage does anyone now think Sony will make the poll results look like we overestimated Nintendo?

I'll update the thread at the end of June.....