Just updated the figures with Week 31 numbers. The decline has taken effect, not even Fire Emblem: Three Houses could stop it. This is gonna be a long month and a half before Switch Lite comes out.

It depends on how many are preferring the Lite, but I think you're right. Especially since the new model has vastly superior battery power, I think there's quite some chance that this one will be more sought after than the Lite except from collectors and Otakus.

Edit: was there no Famitsu thread this week or did I miss it?

Can you put in the table which week pokemon will be release for 2019... please? or any "major" japanese games released for both year :) im curious how much a game can affect the weekly sale in japan

Just posted the latest updates from Obon Week.

September 20th is just a little less than a month away now

Week 34 numbers have just been posted and it's a big drop this week compared to last year.

Last year? How about last week? It's just as big.

Since this is a “Year vs. Year” comparison, that’s why I focused on last year instead of last week.

We are in the calm before the storm.  Sales set to explode during September and continuing through the rest of the year.

Oh I expect September and October to be considerably up YoY from last year. November and December will be tricky. Since Pokemon is already on the Switch, Sword/Shield won't have as big of an impact as it could be and there's nothing in December that could rival Smash Bros. But depending on how much the Switch Lite takes off, that could be more than enough to carry it since it'll be less money parents have to spend on buying the Switch for their kids for the holidays.