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In progress NPD predicting tool

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Ouch, PS4 really is very low now

quickrick said: 

ps4 will beat switch by around 100k March npd or slightly less.

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Megiddo said:

I was curious to see why PS4 is tanking at Gamestop and came across a variety of pre-owned bundles on the webstore that seem to be relatively recent with comments on them no later than 2 months old and most seem to be within the past month.

https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/naughty-dog-playstation-4-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/164165
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-rpg-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162230
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-action-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162233
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-exclusives-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/163274
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-shooter-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162231
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-strategy-fighter-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/163273

Pretty easy to see why the $299 SKU PS4 isn't nearly as high on Gamestop as it was in April/May after all these pre-owned bundles came out.

Question is: Did these bundles already exist in April or May? If they did, then why didn't they affect sales negatively before?



quickrick said: 

ps4 will beat switch by around 100k March npd or slightly less.

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Megiddo said:

I was curious to see why PS4 is tanking at Gamestop and came across a variety of pre-owned bundles on the webstore that seem to be relatively recent with comments on them no later than 2 months old and most seem to be within the past month.

https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/naughty-dog-playstation-4-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/164165
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-rpg-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162230
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-action-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162233
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-exclusives-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/163274
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-shooter-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162231
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-strategy-fighter-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/163273

Pretty easy to see why the $299 SKU PS4 isn't nearly as high on Gamestop as it was in April/May after all these pre-owned bundles came out.

Question is: Did these bundles already exist in April or May? If they did, then why didn't they affect sales negatively before?

Not necessarily bundles, but the pre-owned hardware already existed before and their sales should get more tractions we advance in the gen. I wouldn’t bet on the used sales to make a difference, trade offers can have a better leverage on sales.



Fromerly Gamer9851, back from my VGChartz retirement !

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Megiddo said:

I was curious to see why PS4 is tanking at Gamestop and came across a variety of pre-owned bundles on the webstore that seem to be relatively recent with comments on them no later than 2 months old and most seem to be within the past month.

https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/naughty-dog-playstation-4-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/164165
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-rpg-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162230
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-action-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162233
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-exclusives-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/163274
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-best-of-shooter-blast-from-the-past-bundle/162231
https://www.gamestop.com/ps4/consoles/playstation-4-strategy-fighter-blast-from-the-past-system-bundle/163273

Pretty easy to see why the $299 SKU PS4 isn't nearly as high on Gamestop as it was in April/May after all these pre-owned bundles came out.

Question is: Did these bundles already exist in April or May? If they did, then why didn't they affect sales negatively before?

That's why I mentioned the comments/questions. As you'll see in the links the oldest comment/question on the pages is 2 months old. That's what leads me to believe they are recent.



June Summary :

Amazon : 1) NS : 277.8 points/day (+5.6%) ; 2) XBO : 96.6 points/day (+0.9%) ; 3) PS4 : 04.2 points/day (-90.8%)
Amazon last month : 1) NS : 263.1 points/day ; 2) XBO : 95.7 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 45.7 points/day
Best Buy : 1) PS4 : 440.4 points/day (+17.8%) ; 2) XBO : 421.0 points/day (+45.9%) ; 3) NS : 332.1 points/day (+14.6%)
Best Buy last month : 1) PS4 : 373.9 points/day ; 2) NS : 289.8 points/day ; 3) XBO : 288.5 points/day
Gamestop : 1) PS4 : 347.3 points/day (-13.5%) ; 2) NS : 108.9 points/day (-9.0%) ; 3) XBO : 86.5 points/day (+4.5%)
Gamestop last month : 1) PS4 : 401.4 points/day ; 2) NS : 119.7 points/day ; 3) XBO : 82.8 points/day

Overall : 1) PS4 : 438.7 points/day (-14.4% ; 1.00) ; 2) NS : 397.5 points/day (+2.4% ; 0.91) ; 3) XBO : 247.9 points/day (+14.2% ; 0.57)
Last month : 1) PS4 : 512.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 388.1 points/day (0.76) ; 3) XBO : 217.0 points/day (0.42)
Last month NPD : 1) PS4 : 223k (1.00) ; 2) NS : 167k (0.75) ; 3) XBO : 145k (0.65)



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07/09/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 20 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 74 (-5) - 229.00$
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 85 (+4) - 494.25$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 97 (-4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 27 + 16 + 4 = 47 points (-5) ; NS : 180 + 115 = 295 points (+10)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 5 (+1) - 399.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-1) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 17 (+2) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 27 (-1) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 36 (+1) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 190 = 400 points (+10) ; XBO : 130 + 98 + 80 = 308 points (+10) ; NS : 205 + 160 = 365 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 45 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 85 (-6) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 500Gb White - 99 (-3) - 279.00$
4 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 152 (+33) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 180 (-1) - 499.00$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 127 (-59) - 399.00$

PS4 : 106 points (-39) ; XBO : 52 + 11 = 63 points (-4) ; NS :66 + 25 = 91 points (+11)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 400.0 points (+17.0) ; Month Average : 391.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 186.0 points (-37.0) ; Month Average : 204.5 points/day ; 0.52 (-0.06)
3 - XBO : 162.2 points (-6.0) ; Month Average : 165.2 points/day ; 0.42 (-0.02)

Edit : And I forgot to update the graph title...



PS4 pro out of stock online now on Gamestop. And then there was one SKU left (and a bunch of pre-owned bundles)

Switch will take july easy

Megiddo said:
PS4 pro out of stock online now on Gamestop. And then there was one SKU left (and a bunch of pre-owned bundles)

Pro has been out of stock at my local retailers for awhile, just a bunch of the discontinued 500gb slim model and a few 1tb slims.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Symbios63 said:
June Summary :

Amazon : 1) NS : 277.8 points/day (+5.6%) ; 2) XBO : 96.6 points/day (+0.9%) ; 3) PS4 : 04.2 points/day (-90.8%)
Amazon last month : 1) NS : 263.1 points/day ; 2) XBO : 95.7 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 45.7 points/day
Best Buy : 1) PS4 : 440.4 points/day (+17.8%) ; 2) XBO : 421.0 points/day (+45.9%) ; 3) NS : 332.1 points/day (+14.6%)
Best Buy last month : 1) PS4 : 373.9 points/day ; 2) NS : 289.8 points/day ; 3) XBO : 288.5 points/day
Gamestop : 1) PS4 : 347.3 points/day (-13.5%) ; 2) NS : 108.9 points/day (-9.0%) ; 3) XBO : 86.5 points/day (+4.5%)
Gamestop last month : 1) PS4 : 401.4 points/day ; 2) NS : 119.7 points/day ; 3) XBO : 82.8 points/day

Overall : 1) PS4 : 438.7 points/day (-14.4% ; 1.00) ; 2) NS : 397.5 points/day (+2.4% ; 0.91) ; 3) XBO : 247.9 points/day (+14.2% ; 0.57)
Last month : 1) PS4 : 512.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 388.1 points/day (0.76) ; 3) XBO : 217.0 points/day (0.42)
Last month NPD : 1) PS4 : 223k (1.00) ; 2) NS : 167k (0.75) ; 3) XBO : 145k (0.65)

I suggest putting a link to each months summary in the OP. It makes it easier to look at older months.