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In progress NPD predicting tool

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07/18/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 22 (-15) - 345.99$
2 (+5) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ Eshop - 23 (+10) - 333.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon - 29 (-20) - Out of Stock
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 30 (-14) - 297.50$
5 (+3) - Xbox One S All-Digital Edition + Xbox Phantom White Controller - 32 (+6) - ??
6 (-3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon - 35 (-20) - Out of Stock
7 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black + Days Gone + God of War - 37 (+14) - 458.97$
8 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 42 (-10) - 299.00$
9 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey + 35$ Eshop - 55 (+3) - 334.00$
10 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon 2 - 74 (N) - Out of Stock

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 18 (+4) - 297.75$
9 (N) - Xbox One S All-Digital Edition - 42 (N) - 239.00$

PS4 : (108 + 94 + 92 + 82 + 78 + 27) / 1.9 = 253 points (-102) ; XBO : 88 points (-56) ; NS : (106 + 68 + 46) / 1.3 = 169 points (-94)


- Best Buy :

1 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 15 (-3) - 399.99$
3 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 37 (+5) - 299.99$
4 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 62 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 82 (R) - 249.99$
6 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 83 (+16) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (-) - 299.99$

PS4 : 170 + 140 + 78 = 388 points (-) ; XBO : 39 + 19 + 18 = 76 points (+36) ; NS : 0 points (-390)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 62 (-8)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 116 (-14)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey + Starlink SP- 130 (-11)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 43 points (-7) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : (90 + 36) / 1.3 = 97 points (-10)

Overall :

1 - NS : 232.2 points (-163.2) ; Month Average : 386.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 111.3 points (-48.9) ; Month Average : 238.4 points/day ; 0.62 (-0.03)
3 - PS4 : 323.0 points (-88.6) ; Month Average : 234.7 points/day ; 0.61 (+0.09)


No NS on Best Buy List today for some reason...



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Seems to be a little bug at Amazon.

In the top 100, the Neon Switch indeed is missing, however if you Switch to the Top 100 Switch titles, you'll find it there right between the one with the Gift card and Breath of the wild, or theoretically between #23 and #24 on Amazon Top 100 videogame charts.

On the other hand, it's sold out and shipping July 22, so maybe that's why it's missing...



07/20/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 37 (-15) - 345.99$
2 (+6) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 49 (-7) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 53 (-23) - 297.50$
4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ Eshop - 67 (-44) - 333.99$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon - 74 (-45) - Out of Stock
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon - 87 (-42) - Out of Stock
7 (-2) - Xbox One S All-Digital Edition + Xbox Phantom White Controller - 89 (-67) - ??

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black + Days Gone + God of War - 37 (+14) - 458.97$
9 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey + 35$ Eshop - 55 (+3) - 334.00$
10 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon 2 - 74 (N) - Out of Stock

PS4 : (78 + 48 + 27 + 14) / 1.3 = 128 points (-125) ; XBO : 12 points (-76) ; NS : 54 + 34 = 88 points (-81)


- Best Buy :

1 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (R) - 299.99$
2 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (R) - 299.99$
3 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 10 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 13 (+2) - 399.99$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 36 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 51 (+11) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 90 (-7) - 499.99$
8 (-3) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 94 (-12) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 150 + 80 = 395 points (+7) ; XBO : 50 + 11 + 7 = 68 points (-8) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (+375)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 106 (-44)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 189 (-73)

Out of Top 100 :

3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey + Starlink SP- 130 (-11)

PS4 : 6 points (-37) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 47 points (-50)

Overall :

1 - NS : 192.4 points (-39.8) ; Month Average : 362.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 187.4.0 points (-135.6) ; Month Average : 232.4 points/day ; 0.64 (+0.03)
3 (-1) - XBO : 30.2 points (-81.1) ; Month Average : 210.8 points/day ; 0.58 (-0.04)



It is so weird how everyone is now on a dangerous downward trend cuz of the lack of SKU's ...



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

07/22/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 37 (+12) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 56 (-19) - 374.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 64 (-11) - 295.70$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ Eshop - 67 (-44) - 333.99$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon - 74 (-45) - Out of Stock
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black + Spiderman + Horizon - 87 (-42) - Out of Stock
7 (-2) - Xbox One S All-Digital Edition + Xbox Phantom White Controller - 89 (-67) - ??

PS4 : 45 + 37 = 82 points (-46) ; XBO : 0 points (-12) ; NS : 78 points (-10)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 12 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 13 (-) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 51 (-15) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 56 (-5) - 299.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 62 (+32) - 249.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 79 (+11) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 155 + 150 + 50 = 355 points (-40) ; XBO : 45 + 39 + 22 = 106 points (+38) ; NS : 200 + 180 = 380 points (+5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 163 (+26)

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 106 (-44)

PS4 : 19 points (+13) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 0 points (-47)

Overall :

1 - NS : 138.4 points (-54.0) ; Month Average : 336.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 155.6 points (-31.8) ; Month Average : 223.8 points/day ; 0.66 (+0.02)
3 (-1) - XBO : 27.6 points (-2.6) ; Month Average : 188.3 points/day ; 0.56 (-0.02)



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What's up at Gamestop?



What's happening right now is truly a strange phenomenon.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Lack of stock can be an indication of upcoming model changes, we know about the Switch. For most of the big players (Gamestop, Target, Walmart, Amazon) the PS4 State of Play is the only model available (rest are 3rd parties), Best Buy has both.



Train wreck said:
Lack of stock can be an indication of upcoming model changes, we know about the Switch. For most of the big players (Gamestop, Target, Walmart, Amazon) the PS4 State of Play is the only model available (rest are 3rd parties), Best Buy has both.

That's what I was thinking, especially for the Switch.  We know 2 new models are being released this year, so they are clearing out old inventories.  Athough if Sony hardware is down, then I wonder if they are about to announce a new model, or possibly a new bundle?  It somewhat seems they are clearing out inventories too, and they are definitely due for a price cut or new bundle to increase sales.



07/24/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (+6) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 58 (-2) - 374.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 72 (-8) - 295.70$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 43 + 29 = 72 points (-10) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 90 points (+12)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 10 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (+1) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 51 (+5) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 68 (-17) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 83 (-21) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 88 (-9) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 155 + 33 = 353 points (-2) ; XBO : 50 + 18 + 13 = 81 points (-25) ; NS : 200 + 180 = 380 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 64 (R)
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 132 (+31)
3 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 172 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 35 points (+16) ; XBO : 15 points (+15) ; NS : 88 points (+88)

Overall :

1 - NS : 236.0 points (+97.6) ; Month Average : 322.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 163.2 points (+7.6) ; Month Average : 217.1 points/day ; 0.67 (+0.01)
3 (-1) - XBO : 40.6 points (+13.0) ; Month Average : 171.2 points/day ; 0.53 (-0.03)