I'm still holding off on declaring it a total success, but it's obviously not going to be another Wii U or Gamecube in terms of sales.
Still, my trepidation involves... let's just call it the second and third trimester of this console's run. I just wonder if the hardware will eventually be so comparatively weak as the other consoles offer better models (or even something like a PS5) that people will have less interest in it.
Still, I feel enough things work in Nintendo's favor that this will prove to be quite a success, such as:
-The console/handheld hybrid nature of it definitely sets it apart from the other two platforms, which makes the "weaker" hardware (though strong for its size) acceptable in a way that it wasn't to many (if not most) people with the Wii U
-Nintendo may wind up coming out with their own mid-gen refresh that, given their current success, they could time much better in regards to selecting their processor and such. After all, Nintendo has a long history of putting new models and offering console improvements, so there's no reason to think they won't join the mid-gen refresh game now. If they don't improve the hardware, at the very least they could increase the battery life rather dramatically and affordably after a couple of years.
-A main series Pokemon title is coming to the console. I realize that's just one game, but lord will that sustain a good sixth month span of sales all on its own when it arrives.
Those three reasons alone make me think the odds favor a big success in the long run for the Switch. Still, I've always been hesitant to project too far into the future, so all I'm completely convinced about at this point is that it is not another Wii U or Gamecube.