Which company will sell the most consoles in the fiscal year ending March 2018? | |||
| Sony (by more than 3m) | 260 | 27.84% | |
| Sony (between 2-3m more) | 52 | 5.57% | |
| Sony (between 1-2m more) | 73 | 7.82% | |
| Virtually tied (within 1m of each other) | 133 | 14.24% | |
| Nintendo (between 1-2m more) | 150 | 16.06% | |
| Nintendo (between 2-3m more) | 59 | 6.32% | |
| Nintendo (by more than 3m) | 104 | 11.13% | |
| Microsoft (seriously) | 15 | 1.61% | |
| Microsoft (for the lulz) | 30 | 3.21% | |
| Scoreboard | 58 | 6.21% | |
| Total: | 934 | ||
LimaBean01 said:
Again... talking about overall sales rather than switch vs PS4. |
So, 2 systems vs 1?
Lawlight said:
So, 2 systems vs 1? |
I'm sure Rol would include the Vita if Sony had the balls to reveal numbers.
p0isonparadise said:
I'm sure Rol would include the Vita if Sony had the balls to reveal numbers. |
I think he should include Sony’s phones in there as well while he’s at it.
personally i think phones don't fall under the 'dedicated gaming console' title, but maybe that is just me.
| Teeqoz said: I remember this thread. If I remember right I think I voted for a virtual tie, or perhaps a Sony win by 1-2 million. In hindsight, a virtual tie still seems pretty likely, or perhaps a Nintendo win by 1-2 million. What surprises me the most though is the 3DS. How Nintendo managed to ship 1.9 million of the 3DS in this quarter baffles me. Do that many people still want the 3DS? |
The 3DS shipments still baffle me. The moderate decline in hardware sales hasn't sustained an equally moderate decline in software sales. Are people just grabbing 2DS XLs for cheap and then buy two-three games?
Teeqoz said:
The 3DS shipments still baffle me. The moderate decline in hardware sales hasn't sustained an equally moderate decline in software sales. Are people just grabbing 2DS XLs for cheap and then buy two-three games? |
Did they clarify anywhere which models were selling? The New 2DS XL is fairly inexpensive and otherwise pretty cool... I know they've said it's still being purchased for young kids (it's certainly durable enough to warrant that), so maybe that 2DS version that's extremely cheap is also still selling?
Really, though, it just seems like there's a huge spike in hardware sales every time there's a new Pokemon game (even if it's barely "new"). There's not much reason for Nintendo to abandon the platform, so it will probably be around longer than most assumed.
| RolStoppable said: UPDATE: February 2nd, 2018 Both Sony and Nintendo have announced their latest shipment figures. Sony: 9.0m PS4s this quarter, YTD is 16.5m. Nintendo expanded their previous lead of 0.25m to 1.48m. Furthermore, Nintendo increased their forecasts for both Switch and 3DS while Sony's PS4 forecast remained flat. Sony: 19m PS4s projected for the current fiscal year. With a projected lead of 2.4m units based on known data, the PS4 having a comfortable bar to surpass (only needs to ship 2.5m in fiscal Q4) and factoring in PlayStation Vita at ~500k, things are now pointing to a Nintendo win by 1-2m. Since the accuracy of forecasts is very high with only three months left to go in the fiscal year, the probability of a different result is rather low. It looks like Sony's most successful run against Nintendo is coming to an end as Nintendo returns to the #1 position in the video game hardware business. The user StarDoor has collected all historical data and made estimates for the periods that necessitated it. Sony has won four years in a row which marks their longest streak in history. Overall, they beat Nintendo only seven times in 23 qualifying fiscal years, so the recent past hasn't been anywhere close to the norm of the Sony vs. Nintendo battle. Fiscal year 2016 saw Sony win by ~11.5m units which constituted their biggest margin of victory in history. Now only one year after setting such a record, it looks like they'll be back to losing again. Lastly, here's another snapshot of the poll.
Almost 250 additional votes were casted since the last update that shifted the forecasts of Sony and Nintendo from a Sony win by 2-3m to a virtual tie. The option "Sony by more than 3m" lost three percent points, "Virtually tied" gained one, "Nintendo by 1-2m" gained three, "Nintendo by 2-3m" gained one, "Nintendo by more than 3m" lost one. So overall the results were shifting closer to the eventual reality which is an encouraging sign for the VGC community. |
So where in this does it tell me Nintendo is doomed?
Jokes aside, that's super impressive that Nintendo has rebounded so quickly, especially in what may well have been the PS4's peak year. Obviously including 3DS in that tips the scales but still a stellar showing!
You should check out my YouTube channel, The Golden Bolt! I review all types of video games, both classic and modern, and I also give short flyover reviews of the free games each month on PlayStation Plus to tell you if they're worth downloading. After all, the games may be free, but your time is valuable!
Johnw1104 said:
Did they clarify anywhere which models were selling? The New 2DS XL is fairly inexpensive and otherwise pretty cool... I know they've said it's still being purchased for young kids (it's certainly durable enough to warrant that), so maybe that 2DS version that's extremely cheap is also still selling? Really, though, it just seems like there's a huge spike in hardware sales every time there's a new Pokemon game (even if it's barely "new"). There's not much reason for Nintendo to abandon the platform, so it will probably be around longer than most assumed. |
Out of the 5.86 million total shipped so far this fiscal year, 2.45 million were NN2DS XLs, 1.77 million were N2DSs, and 1.63 million were NN3DSXLs.
I'm still expecting 3DS hardware to plunge on 2018. The ever decreasing software sales make it inevitable. We only have four weeks of Media Create, but so far, the 3DS is down 50% over last year. And this year it won't have Dragon Quest or Pokemon to help it either.
Basically, I think the release of the 2DSXL managed to postpone the collapse in 3DS hardware sales by a year, but it'll happen this year instead.
Johnw1104 said:
Did they clarify anywhere which models were selling? The New 2DS XL is fairly inexpensive and otherwise pretty cool... I know they've said it's still being purchased for young kids (it's certainly durable enough to warrant that), so maybe that 2DS version that's extremely cheap is also still selling? Really, though, it just seems like there's a huge spike in hardware sales every time there's a new Pokemon game (even if it's barely "new"). There's not much reason for Nintendo to abandon the platform, so it will probably be around longer than most assumed. |
Yes, they always do a breakdown by model.
New 3DS XL-1.63m (down from 3.53m)
2DS-1.77m (down from 2.17m)
New 2DS XL-2.45m
Total-5.86m (down from 6.45m)
Software-31.25m (down from 46.78m)
Based on the big drop in software but stable hardware, I would say the majority of hardware sales come from 2 groups.
1. Young kids getting their first handheld and only getting a couple games
2. People who already own a 3DS and just buying the new model
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
They also sold 4 million SNES MINI's, so they have a huge lead.
"The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must" - Thoukydides
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