RolStoppable said:
And then politicians and journalists wonder why people don't want to vote for the same parties anymore. No, you don't need to be xenophobic to vote for a far-right party. You do not even need to believe in a far-right party to vote for it. Voting far-right just so happens to be the most effective way to get the commanding parties to listen, because protest votes for other parties get shrugged off. Voting far-right also doesn't pose much of a risk for the voter because the chances for a majority or a majority through coalition are slim to non-existent.
|
Superb analysis, Rol. As much as I dislike the actual political program of the german AfD for example, I can easily understand why people are voting for it, even if they may not even agree with them - namely for punishing the established parties instead.
Because, ultimately, what better way is there to make politicians of the established parties listen to the average voter, and demonstrate that one is not okay with their political actions? As it turned out, "teaching them a lesson" by voting such parties works surprisingly well, at least better than the alternatives:
- stage a demonstration on the streets? That has proven to be pointless in almost all cases. Even if you manage to gather hundredthousands of people, like it was the case at some Anti-TTIP-demonstrations, there's a good chance only a few local newspapers will even report on it, and that's about it. There's a lot of truth to the saying "If demonstrations would change anything, they'd be forbidden".
- Submit a petition? Completely pointless, at least in Germany. Just look at the success rates of the system of "E-Petitions" that the german government has introduced about a decade ago: About 70000 have been submitted. 95% of them were filtered out immediately, they weren't even published and thus could not be voted for. Just a few ever got the required number of votes necessary to even get listened to. And only a single one ever led to an actual change in law, makeing additional front-bumper on cars illegal. Yet this completely pointless system costs german taxpayers millions per year.
- Don't go voting? Pointless, as no politician cares, because it won't change the result of the voting even a bit.
- Go voting, but make your vote invalid to demonstrate your discomfort? Pointless, as no politician cares, because these votes ultimately count just the same as not having voted at all.
- Vote some political party which has a good political agenda, but is tiny? I don't know about other countries, but at least in Germany, that's pointless as well, because of the undemocratic "5%-Hürde". While your vote will be included in some number you see when the results of the voting get published, the vote will simply be ignored when it comes to the calculations of the actual number of seats each party gets, which is ultimately the only thing that counts.
So ultimately, anything that doesn't change the actual number of seats each party gets will simply be ignored by the politicians, because it has no negative effect for themselves. It's only when parties are afraid to lose seats that they are willing to change their behaviour, as the politicians on the party's "hintere Listenplätze" will become nervous, because they would become jobless and lose their income.
And as you pointed out, one can vote for the AfD even if one does not like their political agenda and thus would not want them to be in power. Because there's no way the AfD would reach the absolute majority, and since the other parties always completely rule out that they would form a coalition with the AfD, there's no danger anyway. So ultimately, when voting for the AfD, one is more or less just reducing the number the number of seats for the other political party. So, voting the AfD is basically watching the politicians of the other parties playing a game of "musical chairs" ("Reise nach Jerusalem") in panic mode.