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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 worldwide sales top 40 million

Sony were very specific the last announcement at 35.9 so I'd guess this would be just slightly above 40.

Still great sales, but with uncharted week still to come VG could be off by quite abit.



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front page says 40.7m and still two weeks behind.. given the data that vgc has to work with, i'd have to give them props for not being way off and just being slightly off. cheers!



Wow, terrible tracking from VGC tbh. Miles off. Not that it's too much of a surprise after we got shipments, but I don't understand why VGC didn't update to reflect the shipment data we got.



Solid tracking from VGC if you ask me. VGC has it at 40.7M and is 2 weeks ahead. And also adds on an average of 150k/week. So in truth they can't be more than say 300k-400k overtracked.

And all Sony said is over 40M, that could very well mean 40.4M or something.



Congratulation at sony



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Intrinsic said:
Solid tracking from VGC if you ask me. VGC has it at 40.7M and is 2 weeks ahead. And also adds on an average of 150k/week. So in truth they can't be more than say 300k-400k overtracked.

And all Sony said is over 40M, that could very well mean 40.4M or something.

VGC is 2 weeks "behind" so you should be adding those weeks on to the difference plus one of those weeks is uncharteds release which should see a spike so more like above 1m difference



justagamer25 said:
Intrinsic said:
Solid tracking from VGC if you ask me. VGC has it at 40.7M and is 2 weeks ahead. And also adds on an average of 150k/week. So in truth they can't be more than say 300k-400k overtracked.

And all Sony said is over 40M, that could very well mean 40.4M or something.

VGC is 2 weeks "behind" so you should be adding those weeks on to the difference plus one of those weeks is uncharteds release which should see a spike so more like above 1m difference

Yes VGC is currently as of the 7th and this data from sony is as of the 22nd. 

VGC as of the 7th is claiming 40.7M, sony as of the 22nd says "over" 40M.

Even if VGC adjusts  down by two weeks prior to uncharted release those weeks (according to VGC) typically has a baseline of around 150k/week. That means that if we adjust VGC down then we have around 40.1M at its curtent date. 

Either way, its not up to 1M overtracked. Thats less than a 5% error margin. Thats not bad. 

Im not saying its not overtracked. I'm saying having less than a 5-10% error margin for LTD sales for something that has sold over 40M isnt that bad at all.



From the press release: "PS4 software sales also remain strong, with more than 270.9 million copies*2 sold in retail stores globally and through digital downloads on PlayStation®Store as of May 22, 2016."
Attach rate of 6.77 games per unit sold



if VGC is over 41m by then, then VGC is overtracked.
But I dont think there is a issue with haveing 40.5m or such.

I wish sony would just give precise numbers.



Intrinsic said:
justagamer25 said:

VGC is 2 weeks "behind" so you should be adding those weeks on to the difference plus one of those weeks is uncharteds release which should see a spike so more like above 1m difference

Yes VGC is currently as of the 7th and this data from sony is as of the 22nd. 

VGC as of the 7th is claiming 40.7M, sony as of the 22nd says "over" 40M.

Even if VGC adjusts  down by two weeks prior to uncharted release those weeks (according to VGC) typically has a baseline of around 150k/week. That means that if we adjust VGC down then we have around 40.1M at its curtent date. 

Either way, its not up to 1M overtracked. Thats less than a 5% error margin. Thats not bad. 

Im not saying its not overtracked. I'm saying having less than a 5-10% error margin for LTD sales for something that has sold over 40M isnt that bad at all.

In context it's pretty bad though, like when we had YTD sales ovetracked by over 30% for Q1, we have pretty fresh shipment numbers now, from end of March, meaning that if we're off by several hundred thousand units over such a short period of time, that percentage is way, way above 5-10%, just as in Q1. When viewed in context with lifetime sales; it's not bad at all, great even, but short term tracking accuracy has suffered a major hit this year, especially for the PS4. Short term error margins of 30-40% are unacceptable for anyone who wants to be taken semi-seriously.

That said; I think every experienced poster in here knows that vgchartz works best as a hindsight tool to determine past trends as a whole, despite problems with accuracy.