Intrinsic said:
Yes VGC is currently as of the 7th and this data from sony is as of the 22nd. VGC as of the 7th is claiming 40.7M, sony as of the 22nd says "over" 40M. Even if VGC adjusts down by two weeks prior to uncharted release those weeks (according to VGC) typically has a baseline of around 150k/week. That means that if we adjust VGC down then we have around 40.1M at its curtent date. Either way, its not up to 1M overtracked. Thats less than a 5% error margin. Thats not bad. Im not saying its not overtracked. I'm saying having less than a 5-10% error margin for LTD sales for something that has sold over 40M isnt that bad at all. |
In context it's pretty bad though, like when we had YTD sales ovetracked by over 30% for Q1, we have pretty fresh shipment numbers now, from end of March, meaning that if we're off by several hundred thousand units over such a short period of time, that percentage is way, way above 5-10%, just as in Q1. When viewed in context with lifetime sales; it's not bad at all, great even, but short term tracking accuracy has suffered a major hit this year, especially for the PS4. Short term error margins of 30-40% are unacceptable for anyone who wants to be taken semi-seriously.
That said; I think every experienced poster in here knows that vgchartz works best as a hindsight tool to determine past trends as a whole, despite problems with accuracy.
