So since a lot of people are claiming doom da doom doom for this game, generally those not playing it until a year later.  What do you think Rise Of The Tomb Raider will sell by the end of this year? I'm going to predict it will hit 1 million copies by the end of the year.  Now this is a bold statement as it's predecessor only sold 1.86 million unite's world wide one xbox 360 according to VGC.

However we may have to wait on VGC numbers, depending if this site goes back to normal or just stays on buffer mode.

Also what would be considered a hit in sales and what would be considered a bust in your opinion?

1.5m?

I'll say +1 million. My biggest concern with ROTR's sales are that it's releasing on the same day as Fallout 4 and around Black Ops 3 and Stars Wars.

It very well could but this is a hard guess, will it be massive or will Halo out shine it? Along with all the other great games coming out this year.

You accuse people of casting doom on this because of their "bias" and then you go and predict sales in the range that most of these "doom-sayers" probably think as well. 1 to maybe 1.5 million this year, more would surprise me, and that just isn't much for the pedigree of this series.

That's a good question, but I think it will shine on its own. I think TR can pull it (if marketed well and stuff...).

EDIT: Just checked... TR reboot sold 1m on its first 2 months on XB360, so even tho XB1 has a smaller install base, I think it'll manage to outperform the original mainly due to being timed exclusive + releasing on holidays.

~0.70M. I think that it's in the same position as Sunset Override was last year. It's a good game, but there's a ton of bigger releases, releasing at the same time.

Of course you can blame my jeloulsy, since I won't be able to play the game for a year.

NOVEMBER NPD:

XBO: 400,000
360: 120,000

DECEMBER NPD:

XBO: 250,000
360: 80,000

Worldwide NOV + DEC :

XBO: 1,050,000
360: 350,000

Those prediction are going to change if will annunced some bundle or those thing...

Who? and this is by the end of the year. I read a whole lot of doom in the other article and a million by the end of the year is very successful in my opinion.  It will have legs I expect but however it could sell a hell a lot more. Seems you just came in to talk down the thread...

I think it'll do over 1. Maybe hit 1.5. Microsoft should be marketing this one hard but it does have a lof competition.