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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: The PS5 will sell less than 40 million units

I know this seems like a controversial prediction because PS4 is dominating the sales charts, but hear me out before you gather your pitchforks and gutting materials.

Right now, the PS4 is appealing to all the casual gamers, be we know how untrusty the casual market is. They never stick to the brand for the long haul. So we cannot just assume Sony is going to hang on to the casual market. We can also see where Sony's focus is moving forward. If you look at PS+, it is how they are modeling their future. The PS5 will be built around this idea of renting your games to your box. Now I know this idea doesnt sound particularly appealing to most of us around here because it takes away even more control from the consumer and transfers it to the company. I know I am not the only one who is tired of that kind of attitude in the gaming industry, and just how gamers revolted against Microsoft when they tried that stuff, they will revolt against Sony too, which is going to cause problems for them.

Last but not least, the market crash of 2020. As a result of these tactics by Sony (and Microsoft more than likely), along with the fact that all these smaller companies getsucked up into bigger companies like the evil EA and Activision who do nothing but innovate and create new ways to rip consumers off, the industry will not be able to handle it, and in 2020, it will come crumbling down. Another blow to the sales of the PS5. The industry will crash, and the only company that will be able to withstand this is Nintendo, standing strong with their iconic franchises who will once again rebuild from the ground up. Nintendo has already proven that they can be quite profitable on 20-30 million sales. They can remain profitable despite what Sony or Micorosoft, or these giant publishers do. Everything can crumble around them, and there will still be enough people willing to buy Nintendo's 7th console that iwll allow them to be profitable. 

The writing is on the wall with this one. You guys can bump it in 5 years, and we will all laugh at how crazy everyone will say I am.



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I'm actually predicting that PS5 will sell 0 consoles. Because there will be no console. PS5 will be a streaming service that will have access to streaming movies, games, tv shows, music, and the like from one app. It will be on almost every phone in existence, along with TVs, computers, tablets and even on Nintendo's next console.



bunchanumbers said:
I'm actually predicting that PS5 will sell 0 consoles. Because there will be no console. PS5 will be a streaming service that will have access to streaming movies, games, tv shows, music, and the like from one app. It will be on almost every phone in existence, along with TVs, computers, tablets and even on Nintendo's next console.

I kinda agree with this. Except for that last thing. I don't think we'll ever see Sony's stuff on Nintendo consoles.



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'' Right now, the PS4 is appealing to all the casual gamers, be we know how untrusty the casual market is. They never stick to the brand for the long haul. So we cannot just assume Sony is going to hang on to the casual market.'' Huh?!?



Bet reminder: I bet with Tboned51 that Splatoon won't reach the 1 million shipped mark by the end of 2015. I win if he loses and I lose if I lost.

chapset said:
'' Right now, the PS4 is appealing to all the casual gamers, be we know how untrusty the casual market is. They never stick to the brand for the long haul. So we cannot just assume Sony is going to hang on to the casual market.'' Huh?!?


Do you expect the casuals to stick with the PS4 or something? lol



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Skullwaker said:
bunchanumbers said:
I'm actually predicting that PS5 will sell 0 consoles. Because there will be no console. PS5 will be a streaming service that will have access to streaming movies, games, tv shows, music, and the like from one app. It will be on almost every phone in existence, along with TVs, computers, tablets and even on Nintendo's next console.

I kinda agree with this. Except for that last thing. I don't think we'll ever see Sony's stuff on Nintendo consoles.


Well, 0 consoles still falls well within my prdiction



The PS4 is not a casual console. No, PS2 was a casual console because of the DVD player, Wii was a casual console because of the gimmicks.

PS4, XBO, and Wii U are all hardcore consoles right now. There is no casual aspect increasing there sales. People already have blu-ray players and Netflix on almost every device. It's just gamers buying consoles to play games this generation.



"There is only one race, the pathetic begging race"

RubberWhistleHistle said:
Skullwaker said:

I kinda agree with this. Except for that last thing. I don't think we'll ever see Sony's stuff on Nintendo consoles.


Well, 0 consoles still falls well within my prdiction

90 million consoles is closer to your prediction than 0 million.  You raise interesting points about the big publishers though.  I'm really hoping we see indie games get even more popular in the next little while to combat what you're predicting.  We need to remember as consumers that we hold the power.  The big punlishers make their money from us.  If they wanna nickel and dime us, we can take our money and spend it on other games.



Ali_16x said:

The PS4 is not a casual console. No, PS2 was a casual console because of the DVD player, Wii was a casual console because of the gimmicks.

PS4, XBO, and Wii U are all hardcore consoles right now. There is no casual aspect increasing there sales. People already have blu-ray players and Netflix on almost every device. It's just gamers buying consoles to play games this generation.

I guess I can see what youre saying about how gamers are buying the console.. but people who are most loosely associated with gaming are going to PS4. It's just the nature of being the highest selling console. 



RubberWhistleHistle said:
chapset said:
'' Right now, the PS4 is appealing to all the casual gamers, be we know how untrusty the casual market is. They never stick to the brand for the long haul. So we cannot just assume Sony is going to hang on to the casual market.'' Huh?!?


Do you expect the casuals to stick with the PS4 or something? lol

Here is a list of the top selling gaes on the PS4

show me what's so causla about this list because a casual console would surely sell casual games right?

By the way if it's a joke thread just reply to this with a wink ( ;) ) and I'll know

1. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare 2014 Shooter Activision 2.32 2.58 0.11 1.24 6.25
2. Grand Theft Auto V 2014 Action Take-Two Interactive 2.09 2.64 0.16 1.25 6.14
3. FIFA 15 2014 Sports Electronic Arts 0.58 3.51 0.03 1.54 5.66
4. Destiny 2014 Action Activision 2.04 1.62 0.14 0.81 4.60
5. Watch Dogs 2014 Action Ubisoft 1.24 1.49 0.10 0.71 3.54
6. Assassin's Creed: Unity 2014 Action Ubisoft 0.79 1.50 0.07 0.69 3.05
7. Call of Duty: Ghosts 2013 Shooter Activision 1.52 1.18 0.05 0.26 3.01
8. Far Cry 4 2014 Shooter Ubisoft 0.74 1.49 0.06 0.68 2.97
9. The Last of Us 2014 Adventure Sony Computer Entertainment 1.18 1.05 0.06 0.52 2.81
10. FIFA Soccer 14 2013 Sports Electronic Arts 0.55 1.77 0.10 0.30 2.71
11. Battlefield 4 2013 Shooter Electronic Arts 1.13 1.14 0.13 0.23 2.63
12. Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag 2013 Action Ubisoft 0.92 1.05 0.05 0.21 2.23
13. Killzone: Shadow Fall 2013 Action Sony Computer Entertainment 0.82 1.10 0.07 0.21 2.20
14. inFAMOUS: Second Son 2014 Action Sony Computer Entertainment 1.01 0.74 0.07 0.37 2.19
15. Middle-Earth: Shadow of Mordor 2014 Action Warner Bros. Interactive Entertainment 0.73 0.90 0.03 0.43 2.09
16. Madden NFL 15 2014 Sports Electronic Arts 1.36 0.16 0.00 0.15 1.66
17. NBA 2K15 2014 Sports Take-Two Interactive 1.14 0.32 0.01 0.20 1.66
18. MineCraft 2014 Adventure Sony Computer Entertainment Europe 0.62 0.67 0.00 0.32 1.61
19. DriveClub 2014 Racing Sony Computer Entertainment 0.31 0.86 0.01 0.39 1.57
20. The Evil Within 2014 Action Bethesda Softworks 0.46 0.59 0.09 0.28 1.42
21. Need for Speed Rivals 2013 Racing Electronic Arts 0.62 0.64 0.03 0.13 1.42
22. Dragon Age: Inquisition 2014 Role-Playing Electronic Arts 0.51 0.56 0.06 0.27 1.39
23. Knack 2013 Action Sony Computer Entertainment Europe 0.38 0.46 0.42 0.09 1.35
24. Wolfenstein: The New Order 2014 Shooter Bethesda Softworks 0.35 0.54 0.03 0.25 1.17
25. The Crew 2014 Racing Ubisoft 0.20 0.65 0.02 0.29 1.15
26. NBA 2K14 2013 Sports Take-Two Interactive 0.78 0.26 0.01 0.08 1.14
27. Metal Gear Solid: Ground Zeroes 2014 Action Konami Digital Entertainment 0.38 0.35 0.15 0.17 1.05
28. LittleBigPlanet 3 2014 Platform Sony Computer Entertainment 0.34 0.45 0.01 0.21 1.01


Bet reminder: I bet with Tboned51 that Splatoon won't reach the 1 million shipped mark by the end of 2015. I win if he loses and I lose if I lost.