By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Launch Sales Chart and PS4 vs XB1 Sales Projection in US

This is a comparative analysis from the Data I gathered from this site.

The numbers below are entirely in line with my original projections about the US market share, posted here:

http://www.vgchartz.com/article/251427/ps4-vs-xbox-one-us-launch-sales-comparison/

Basically, I am estimating the North American market share between PS4 and XB1 to be...

XB1 :  Around 35-45%

PS4 :  Around 55-65%

Currently the preorders market share for XB1 is 45% overall, and 42% for third parties, which is more representative in the long run. Those numbers will more likely improve in favor of PS4 in the upcoming months / years due to the network & catapult effects from the rest of the world, in addition to the more price sensitive casual crowd, who will favor PS4, and improved supply constraints.

 

    11/22/2013-11/29/2013    
  PS4 - Top 10 Launch Sales     Xbox One - Top 10 Launch Sales
1 Call of Duty: Ghosts 563,638   1 Call of Duty: Ghosts 495,223
2 Battlefield 4 396,187   2 Battlefield 4 252,614
3 Killzone: Shadow Fall 355,148   3 Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag 213,644
4 Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag 345,176   4 Forza Motorsport 5 225,051
5 Madden NFL 25 133,368   5 Dead Rising 3 167,766
6 NBA 2K14 111,674   6 Ryse: Son of Rome 143,647
7 Knack 102,749   7 Madden NFL 25 92,424
8 NFS Rivals 94,157   8 NBA 2K14 69,819
9 Fifa Soccer 14 77,912   9 NFS Rivals 62,367
10 LEGO Marvel Super Heroes 32,188   10 Fifa Soccer 14 62,273
    2,212,197       1,784,828

 

 

  Launch Sales Chart 11/22/2013-11/29/2013    
             
  Titles PS4 Xbone Total    
             
1 Call of Duty: Ghosts 563,638 495,223 1,058,861 53.2% 46.8%
2 Battlefield 4 396,187 252,614 648,801 61.1% 38.9%
3 Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag 345,176 213,644 558,820 61.8% 38.2%
4 Killzone: Shadow Fall 355,148   355,148 100.0% 0.0%
5 Madden NFL 25 133,368 92,424 225,792 59.1% 40.9%
6 NBA 2K14 111,674 69,819 181,493 61.5% 38.5%
7 Forza Motorsport 5   225,051 225,051 0.0% 100.0%
8 Fifa Soccer 14 77,912 62,273 140,185 55.6% 44.4%
9 Dead Rising 3   167,766 167,766 0.0% 100.0%
10 Ryse: Son of Rome   143,647 143,647 0.0% 100.0%
11 Knack 102,749   102,749 100.0% 0.0%
12 Need for Speed Rivals 94,157 62,367 156,524 60.2% 39.8%
13 LEGO Marvel Super Heroes 32,188 29,837 62,025 51.9% 48.1%
  All 2,212,197 1,814,665 4,026,862    
    54.9% 45.1%      
  Third Party 1,754,300 1,278,201 3,032,501    
    57.8% 42.2%      


Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates

Around the Network

Isn´t there a one week difference between those numbers?



* Correction :

There is a slight mistake with the Need for Speed Rivals numbers for Xbox One, which is supposed to be around 38K. This is an estimated* number by interpolation, since the data was simply not available. However, this is a conservative estimate since we at least know the maximum amount that it can be (less than 45 K). The effect on the overall results were tiny at best, so I didn't bother correcting it.



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates

Puppyroach said:
Isn´t there a one week difference between those numbers?


Yes.



Currently own:

 

  • Ps4

 

Currently playing: Witcher 3, Walking Dead S1/2, GTA5, Dying Light, Tomb Raider Remaster, MGS Ground Zeros

Great work man, must've been time consuming!



Around the Network
Puppyroach said:
Isn´t there a one week difference between those numbers?


They are all taken from the Nov 09, 2013 Data (latest) on the site. just caution on the mistake regarding the NFS Rivals for Xbone though.

 

But let me know if the data is updated. I will update the tables here as well.



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates

freedquaker said:
Puppyroach said:
Isn´t there a one week difference between those numbers?


They are all taken from the Nov 09, 2013 Data (latest) on the site. just caution on the mistake regarding the NFS Rivals for Xbone though.

 

But let me know if the data is updated. I will update the tables here as well.

Exactly, so some of the X1 games are one week behind in preorders. COD:Ghost on X1 for example should pass the PS4 version when the next edition comes up. I do not know how much difference it will make bu alot of games usually add a ton of preorders the week before relase.

Don´t get me wrong, you have done a commendable job, but I think you should compare numbers for the same number of weeks ahead of launch for each games, just a tip :).



Shouldn't these be compared by their "1 week left" pre-order numbers instead of their Nov 9th numbers?



The issue is that this site preorders are way wrong... PS4 did way way way better than they predicted.

And I will guess now but Xbone will do worst than what they predicted.

Well like always hapened with the preorders chartz.



The thread has been updated to reflect the sales projection based on the Launch Sales, instead of Preorders.



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates