When I can no longer walk into a store and buy a physical copy of the game I want, that's the day I quit gaming.

Hmmm.. I won't quit.. I will just go back and get the gems I missed on other systems through the generations.. most of the time.. they are better anyway.. 

No.

Last year 230 Million music album CDs were purchased.

Despite there being a shift toward digital media and streaming, a sizable chunk of the market will ALWAYS appreciate having a physical copy.

Consoles are designed to appeal to as many people as possible. Being entirely digital and always online would simply alienate too many people, it's not happening for a very long time.

Agreed.. not to mention Blu Rays etc.. sells may go up and down.. but the bottom line in this day and age of streaming... and downloading.. (Digital) These things are still here.. and yes.. it would alienate to many people.. especially the people that live in the wrong areas..  

I don't mind that as long as I don't need a credit card to buy games

Sorry, but to me, you paint a very sad, bleak future for gaming consoles then.

While on face value I agree with you... it must also be mentioned that games is the only market pushing to get rid of used games as well.

The markets are different and I'm still fully confident MS and Sony will definitely go this route. Nintendo is my only black sheep.

I actually expect Nintendo to be the first one to have a tablet/handheld/console machine on the market. The power would be in the tablet and they would give you a box with it so you can play on tv

Discs will always be a thing.... look at cds. Im sure emphasis on it will be lower and will probably enforce more restrictions... but i will deal with that in 2020

You are forgetting a very important fact.

Sony is not a games company, they are an electronics and media conglomerate.

10 years from now Sony is betting on a very big advancement in consumer electronics, namely TV: 4k

No other company on the planet seeks to benefit more from 4k than Sony:

-They own and will sell the technoloy necessary to film and create 4k content ( Avengers, biggest film of 2012, was shot using Sony 4k Camera technology)

-They will sell 4k movies and tv shows

-They will get license fees from the medium (Blu Ray) used to deliver 4k content

-They will sell 4k televisions (First to the market with 4k consumer TVs, if ur a millionaire who has 10k to drop lol)

-They will sell the PS5, the device that will bring 4k gaming and playback to the masses.

Games already take  +20 GB, with 4k textures and 100 GB blu rays, they will simply be too big for anyone who is not on fiber optics (sadly this is not going to happen to the masses for at least 15 years thanks to shitty ISP Oligopolies who have bandied together to hold back technology and keep their margins). Besides how is Sony going to pay for the massive fees associated with millions of people downloading hundreds of Gigabytes of games a year?

Sony's PS5 will NOT abandon the optical drive, and MS has no choice but to follow them as they push the 'All in one entertainment box'

Nintendo is actually the odd one out, I would go as far as to say that they are the most likely to abandon the optical drive (and hopefully go flash memory :), although of course they will offer physical media in form or another.