Wii didn't sell under 200,000 units per week from launch date until mid-march.
Wii U will sell under 200,000 units by Mid-January.

There is no hype for Wii U, these projections are way off.

Sub 4m by end of March.

So you believe it will sell less than 1.8 million by the end of March?

It will do ~300k for each of the next 2 weeks (reported sales weeks).  At that point, it would only need to sell an average of 100,000 per week to make your 4 million figure.  Which will be quite easy to achieve.

250k next week (29th)

200k (5th)

That will allow some wiggle room. ~4m seems accurate. No games, man.

Last year the Wii sold 1,557,816 from January 1st to March 31st, the Wii U will (likely) need less than that to have sold 4 Million by the end of March, and if you think the Wii U will sell worse than the Wii did in 2012 I have a bridge to sell you ...

So... 1.800.000 shipped consoles in more than three months (we still miss sales for the last week of December)...

Yeah... NO.

lol @ "no games". It already has a lot of games and a lot more has already been announced.

But the fact is, by March, we will have much more to talk about regarding Wii U games.

250k (dec. 29th) + fw 2013 200k + 12 weeks (2013) at ~120k per week = 1.89m

Curent: 2.207 + 1.89 = 4.097m

Sub 4m seems possible but unlikely, ~4m seems accurate to me.

I wonder how it's gonna do through Q1. Pikmin being delayed again is a bit of a blow, and as far as I can tell, Japan only has three games coming (Fist of North Star 2, Black Ops 2 & Need for Speed Most Wanted.  Not too sure if BO2 is already out there or not).

It's going to be a good time to judge the base level sales of Wii-U, at least.

In the west, I think Lego City might give it a sizeable boost, Lego games have found quite a home on Nintendo consoles in the past.  Rayman should helpt a lot as well.  I'm not sure what Wii Fit U & Monster Hunter will do, but at the very least they're going to do nothing to hurt sales :P

Regardless, congratulations2u Wii-U. Out of the gate well. Onwards and upwards.

I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.

Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.

So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.

Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...

I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.

You're really going to compare a $400 console launch where the previous iteration sold 24m lifetime to a $300-$350 console where the previous iteration sold 100+m? 

All I can say is prepare to be disappointed. 

I'm simply comparing the initial numbers, and if this trend holds true Wii U could end up selling 12m units in 2013 alone. Now, I think that's a bit optimistic, but 10m seems plausible.

And the 360 might have been $400 then, and Wii U might be $300-350 now, but the economy is far worse now than in 2006, so that counts for nothing. If anything, it only shows the strength of Wii U sales.