dsgrue3 said:
DanneSandin said:
dsgrue3 said:
HappySqurriel said:
dsgrue3 said: Wii didn't sell under 200,000 units per week from launch date until mid-march. Wii U will sell under 200,000 units by Mid-January. There is no hype for Wii U, these projections are way off. Sub 4m by end of March. |
Last year the Wii sold 1,557,816 from January 1st to March 31st, the Wii U will (likely) need less than that to have sold 4 Million by the end of March, and if you think the Wii U will sell worse than the Wii did in 2012 I have a bridge to sell you ...
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250k (dec. 29th) + fw 2013 200k + 12 weeks (2013) at ~120k per week = 1.89m
Curent: 2.207 + 1.89 = 4.097m
Sub 4m seems possible but unlikely, ~4m seems accurate to me.
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I'll lay down some numbers for you. Xbox360 was released more or less on the same day as Wii U in 2005, and during its first 5 weeks it ALMOST sold 1,1m (1.08 really) averaging 216,475 sold units per week. It also sold ALMOST 1,25m (1,245 really) in 2006 up until 1 of April, averaging 95, 819/week.
Wii U on the other hand has sold slightly over 2.2m (2.207 really) in its first 5 weeks - MORE than double that of the 360 in the same period of time - averaging 441,565/week.
So you actually believe a console that outsold the 360 with twice as much in their first 5 weeks will only sell slightly more than 360 in the period between January-March? The numbers speak against you.
Considering these sales numbers it wouldn't be too farfetched to assume it'll sell almost twice as much as 360 from January-March, which means it COULD sell somewhere around 3m, and adding to that the current sold 2.2 Wii U's we get a total of 5.2m Wii U by the end of March - and that's not even considering the week ending the 29th December...
I'm not sure if this analysis will hold true, but mark my words; it'll sell more than 4m by the end of March.
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You're really going to compare a $400 console launch where the previous iteration sold 24m lifetime to a $300-$350 console where the previous iteration sold 100+m?
All I can say is prepare to be disappointed.
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I'm simply comparing the initial numbers, and if this trend holds true Wii U could end up selling 12m units in 2013 alone. Now, I think that's a bit optimistic, but 10m seems plausible.
And the 360 might have been $400 then, and Wii U might be $300-350 now, but the economy is far worse now than in 2006, so that counts for nothing. If anything, it only shows the strength of Wii U sales.