Nice post, Derp.

I don't agree. I think for some major games the fanbase is very solid on the ps3. That's why we saw games like FF and One Piece even towards the end of the generation. The size of the userbase hardly matters to third parties really...what matters is on what system their games sell the most

We've seen with Bungie and Infinity Ward whole studios prepared to walk if they don't get their way. Publishers may own the studio but a company is in reality just a piece of paper, what they don't really own are the people. So what about the rest? We're getting to the point where the games industry is becoming a dumbell shape with a lot of big expensive games on one end and a lot of cheap/next to nothing games on the other and very little in between. If you're not a 'big studio' then you're more likely to be a little studio chasing the growth potential of F2P, Fremium and cheap mobile games. Essentially you're either trying to be the next Call of Duty or you're trying to be the next League of Legends/Angry Birds.

How is the Wii U in a better position? Industry leaders have been begging for the next gen to start because there needs to be a transitional leap in the performance of games today. Ubisoft, especially has been fronting this whole issue. Nintendo will be behind when the new consoles come, but for Nintendo fans this should not be an issue.

Industry leaders yes, but are the consumers ready to jump the boat - I'm not so sure. Video games fanatics like us will purchase the latest technology, however will the average consumer who sees a PS3 and Xbox 360 at 199$ compare to 720 and PS4 at over 400$ purchase it? I wouldn't count on it. Furthermore, like I mentioned, I think you will be surprised on how many developers will not go ahead and fully support the next Xbox or PS4 until that user base is installed and it will be up to the first party developers to do the expanding. Wii U, 720 and PS4 will not get much third party support until the 2nd year on the market as they want a return on their investment. Its business. Look at the PS3 when it launched and the games it had. Then compare that to the support the PS2 in comparison to PS3's first year. PS2 was the platform of choice - safer investment, more profitable.

Furthermore, development costs will not be more costly that they are right now for the Wii U due to it being slightly above current gen consoles. Hence, will developers support the next PS4 and 720 with a hefty investment and bill attached to it, or will they support the Wii U which has a lesser investment risk? I think you know the answer.

Fucking hell. The console is only 3 weeks old. Lets evaluate the system after 6 months/a year and then talk about support or lack of it.

I second this. And let's apply this to the half dozen Wii U doom threads in progress.

Metal Gear Rising: Revengeance

Release Date: February 19, 2013 (PS3, Xbox 360)
Coming to Wii U? We asked the game's producer, Yuji Korekado, at an event in Los Angeles last week. Here's the transcript:

Kotaku: Do you have plans to bring Revengeance to Wii U?
Korekado: No.
Kotaku: Why not?
Korekado: We really developed the game based on these two consoles [PS3, 360] and the Wii U, we think, is unique in a way that the controller is innovative and the entire console's pretty much not hand-in-hand with the consoles that we're making it for now. So if we were going to make it for the Wii U we'd have to start from zero again and really design something for that console, so we could say 100% that it was a good game for this console.
Kotaku: Could Wii U run the Revengeance engine?
Korekado: I haven't really tried it, so I'm not quite sure.

http://kotaku.com/5967668/most-of-early-2013s-biggest-games-seem-to-be-skipping-wii-u

This pretty much sums up the 3rd party situation of the Wii U right now - Nintendo completely messed up the market timing of launching this new console and working with the developers 12 months prior to this launch to make sure they started working on porting games or at least being aware and thinking of the Wii U. The games coming out in 2013 didn't take 12 months to develope but have been in development for at least 2 years. You can't just expect 3rd parties to drop everything and create new teams for Wii U ports at the last minute especially since Wii U's install base is currently less than 1.5 million consoles and the targeted consoles have 140 million users!

The Wii U will probably get a lot more games in 2014 and onwards since developers working on next generation console games now have the Wii U in mind (since it's 2012). The problem with that is Nintendo is missing a huge opportunity on building a 10 million userbase before the next generation Xbox next / PS4 arrive. The fact that they didnt' even have a "Killer Nintendo App" for launch or on the horizon shows they rushed the launch of the Wii U. I hope Nintendo does well but strategically, I think their management really missed the mark. When PS4/Xbox 720 launch, they'll have no choice but to lower prices next fall and by the looks of it the next 6 months are not going to give non-Nintendo fans many reasons to buy it for $350 (+ you'd need an external HDD, so it's really $400+).

With so many cross-platform games and decent number PS3 exclusives coming out next year, existing console gamers are too busy worried about having enough money to buy all the games they want to play instead of spending $350 + HDD on a new console that won't even have those games, but neither does it have the killer 1st party line-up of Nintendo either. I seriously don't understand how Nintendo went from NES/SNES and slowly over time ended up where they are today. 

That's some pretty shitty logic.... If you're in the business because you love games you probably also love the challenges in making those games, and therefore everyone would be developing for the Wii U right now.

Boooring. Speculation is fun. 

At least if everyone is wrong you can laugh at them later.