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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predictions - When Will 360 overtake Wii in the USA?

- $50 price cut in March (2012).
- $99 deals in the holidays.
- Cut the price officially to $99 in March (2013).
I think it will pass the Wii in Q3 2013.



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Late 2013 I expect.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

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It doesn't seem likely to happen. After 6 years on the market, it has sold 34 million, the Wii is closing in on 43 million after 5 years. That is a nearly 9 million unit gap that has to be closed, the gap has largely been there for about 3-4 years now, and I don't see why it will be much different before the next generation begins; or afterwards.

 

The Xbox 360 might get ahead of 43 million in 2 years, but in two years the Wii will also be much further ahead of that. By that point system sales will be minute for both consoles, and the next generation will have already begun.



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Jumpin said:

It doesn't seem likely to happen. After 6 years on the market, it has sold 34 million, the Wii is closing in on 43 million after 5 years. That is a nearly 9 million unit gap that has to be closed, the gap has largely been there for about 3-4 years now, and I don't see why it will be much different before the next generation begins; or afterwards.

 

The Xbox 360 might get ahead of 43 million in 2 years, but in two years the Wii will also be much further ahead of that. By that point system sales will be minute for both consoles, and the next generation will have already begun.

huh? no the gap isn't 9 mill, it's 6.6, and it'll be different because the X360 is outselling the Wii in the US by millions, have you been living under a rock?

In 2 years the X360 will easily be above 43 mill, but no, Wii won't be much further head at that point, it'll be lucky if it's overtaken the PS2 at that point (46 mill)



 

I say Q2 2013



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Unlike Xbox360 vs PS3 where the PS3 will most likely overtake the xbox360, I'ld say theres a very low chance of this happening but thats a boring answer so I'll say Q4 2014



All bow to me the VGChartz current reigning 3DS prediction champion 

 Bet with tbone51: Pokeon X & pokemon Y will not sell more than 8 million in 2013

 jarrod said:The Xbox360 or ps3 will not sell more than 75million units

July 2009 daveJ saidTrue the wii has a large lead now but by 2017 the most likely result will be 1. ps3 2. xbox360 3. wii <-- wii's successor launched in 2011 effectively killing sales of the wii

 2009 daveJ said: The wii will not break the 50% marketshare barrier it will go below the 40% marketshare barrier though in the future. VGChartz members: Impossible, youre an idiot that knows nothing about sales

One year has passed, and now the gap is less than 2mill.

Does anyone want to change its prediction?