Can Disney beat Universal's record 2015 domestic gross - $2.445 billion? | |||
| It will fall short of tha... | 4 | 13.33% | |
| Finding Dory, Doctor Stra... | 20 | 66.67% | |
| It's going to be very cl... | 6 | 20.00% | |
| Total: | 30 | ||
Friday Estimate
| Rank* | Title | Friday 9/30 (Estimates) | Saturday 10/1 | Sunday 10/2 | Monday 10/3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MONEYBALL Sony / Columbia 2,993 |
$3,850,000 +122% / $1,286 $29,819,000 / 8 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 2 | DOLPHIN TALE Warner Bros. 3,515 |
$3,465,000 +108.4% / $986 $26,736,000 / 8 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 3 | THE LION KING (IN 3D) Buena Vista 2,340 |
$3,305,000 +49.7% / $1,412 $71,899,000 / 15 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 4 | COURAGEOUS TriStar 1,161 |
$3,100,000 -- / $2,670 $3,100,000 / 1 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 5 | 50/50 Summit Entertainment 2,458 |
$2,867,000 -- / $1,166 $2,867,000 / 1 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 6 | DREAM HOUSE Universal 2,661 |
$2,661,000 -- / $1,000 $2,661,000 / 1 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 7 | WHAT'S YOUR NUMBER? Fox 3,002 |
$2,050,000 -- / $683 $2,050,000 / 1 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 8 | ABDUCTION Lionsgate 3,118 |
$1,700,000 +149.2% / $545 $15,189,000 / 8 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 9 | KILLER ELITE Open Road Films 2,986 |
$1,525,000 +102.7% / $511 $14,109,000 / 8 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| 10 | CONTAGION Warner Bros. 2,744 |
$1,465,000 +102.6% / $534 $61,127,000 / 22 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
I expected more from "50/50" and "What's Your Number?".
Good hold for Moneyball and Dolphin Tale.
Decent numbers for Moneyball.
Weekend Estimate
| TW | LW | Title (click to view) | Studio | Weekend Gross | % Change | Theater Count / Change | Average | Total Gross | Budget* | Week # | |
| 1 | 3 | Dolphin Tale | WB | $14,245,000 | -25.6% | 3,515 | +8 | $4,053 | $37,516,000 | $37 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | Moneyball | Sony | $12,500,000 | -35.9% | 2,993 | - | $4,176 | $38,469,000 | $50 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | The Lion King (in 3D) | BV | $11,057,000 | -49.6% | 2,340 | +10 | $4,725 | $79,652,000 | - | 3 |
| 4 | N | 50/50 | Sum. | $8,858,000 | - | 2,458 | - | $3,604 | $8,858,000 | - | 1 |
| 5 | N | Courageous | TriS | $8,800,000 | - | 1,161 | - | $7,580 | $8,800,000 | - | 1 |
| 6 | N | Dream House | Uni. | $8,209,000 | - | 2,661 | - | $3,085 | $8,209,000 | - | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | Abduction | LGF | $5,650,000 | -48.3% | 3,118 | - | $1,812 | $19,139,000 | $35 | 2 |
| 8 | N | What's Your Number? | Fox | $5,600,000 | - | 3,002 | - | $1,865 | $5,600,000 | - | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | Contagion | WB | $5,040,000 | -40.4% | 2,744 | -392 | $1,837 | $64,702,000 | $60 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | Killer Elite | ORF | $4,855,000 | -48.1% | 2,986 | - | $1,626 | $17,439,000 | $70 | 2 |
| Rank | Title(click to view) | Studio | Lifetime Gross | Year^ |
| 1 | Avatar | Fox | $760,507,625 | 2009^ |
| 2 | Titanic | Par. | $600,788,188 | 1997^ |
| 3 | The Dark Knight | WB | $533,345,358 | 2008 |
| 4 | Star Wars | Fox | $460,998,007 | 1977^ |
| 5 | Shrek 2 | DW | $441,226,247 | 2004 |
| 6 | E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial | Uni. | $435,110,554 | 1982^ |
| 7 | Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace | Fox | $431,088,301 | 1999^ |
| 8 | Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest | BV | $423,315,812 | 2006 |
| 9 | Toy Story 3 | BV | $415,004,880 | 2010 |
| 10 | The Lion King | BV | $408,193,776 | 1994^ |
| 11 | Spider-Man | Sony | $403,706,375 | 2002 |
| 12 | Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen | P/DW | $402,111,870 | 2009 |
| 13 | Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith | Fox | $380,270,577 | 2005 |
| 14 | Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 | WB | $378,972,347 | 2011 |
| 15 | The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King | NL | $377,027,325 | 2003 |
Amazing hold for Dolphin Tale.
Weekend Report: 'Dolphin Tale' Leaps Into Lead
On strong word-of-mouth, Dolphin Tale managed to leap over Moneyball and The Lion King (in 3D) to take first place on its second weekend in theaters. 50/50 faltered but was tops among newcomers, though faith-based movieCourageous had the most impressive showing at far fewer locations. Dream House disappointed in its debut, while What's Your Number? tallied one of the worst numbers for a super-saturated (3,000+ theaters) release ever.
Dolphin Tale eased just 26 percent to an estimated $14.3 million, which brought its 10-day total to a solid $37.5 million. It had a better hold than Soul Surfer and was about even with last Fall's Secretariat, albeit with a much higher total than either of those movies at the same point. Still, it couldn't hold a candle to The Blind Side (which actually improved in its second frame), though that was a holiday weekend so it isn't an apples-to-apples comparison.
Moneyball dipped 36 percent to an estimated $12.5 million. That's a bit steeper than The Social Network's 31 percent decline, though it's still very solid in its own right. The Brad Pitt baseball drama has scored $38.5 million through 10 days in theaters.
After ruling the charts for the past two weeks, The Lion King's 3D re-release fell nearly 50 percent to an estimated $11.1 million and had to settle for third place. That week-over-week decline is a bit steep, though it's not entirely unexpected considering the Blu-ray hits stores on Tuesday and most advertisements pegged the re-release as a two-weeks-only affair. The movie's total has now reached $79.7 million, which brings The Lion King's overall total to $408.2 million. On Saturday, it passed Spider-Man to move in to the Top 10 all-time, and it should be able to climb a few more spots before the end of its run. Thanks in part to The Lion King's impressive performance, Walt Disney Pictures passed the $1 billion mark on Saturday, making it the sixth straight year that the studio reached this milestone.
50/50 opened to an estimated $8.86 million from 2,458 theaters, which is the lowest debut ever for a Seth Rogenmovie. Considering the grim subject matter, though, that's not an entirely awful start, and an "A-" CinemaScore should translate in to decent word-of-mouth in coming weeks. The audience was 54 percent female and 57 percent under 30 years old.
50/50 had a hot young cast, and strong reviews and word-of-mouth, but all of that only goes so far. The marketing was ultimately too lukewarm: by attempting to off-set the cancer plotline and dreary gray palette with random jokes and the uplifting tagline "Beat the Odds," the movie's story and characters were diluted and instead it came off as a somewhat sad buddy comedy. It could hang on well moving foward, though it will be tough to match star Joseph Gordon-Levitt's 2009 hit (500) Days of Summer ($32.4 million).
Sherwood Pictures' Courageous scored $8.8 million from just 1,161 theaters for a strong per-theater average of $7,580. That's up from the studio's last movie Fireproof ($6.8 million), though the average was off just a bit. The opening ranks fifth all-time for a Christian movie, and only trails The Passion of the Christ and the three Narniamovies. Courageous scored a rare "A+" CinemaScore, and the audience was 53 percent female and 77 percent over the age of 25.
Made outside of Hollywood without any major stars, Courageous managed to fly under most radars (including my own) until very recently. It's unfair to ignore the vast majority of church-going Americans for whom typical Hollywood fare isn't of great interest, though, and Sherwood Pictures has impressively found a way to mobilize this subset of the population. It will be interesting to see if Courageous can hold as well as Fireproof did when it went on to earn $33.46 million, or nearly five times its opening weekend, in 2008.
Dream House scared up a meek estimated $8.2 million. That's just a fraction of haunted house movies like The Skeleton Key ($16.1 million) and The Amityville Horror ($23.5 million), and it's even off a bit from Dark Water($9.9 million). The movie received a "B" CinemaScore and the audience was 54 percent female and 62 percent under the age of 25. Hispanics were the largest ethnic group in attendance at 38 percent, which tends to be the case with supernatural thrillers.
The combined star wattage of Daniel Craig, Rachel Weisz and Naomi Watts couldn't save Dream House from a vague marketing effort that failed to firmly place the movie in a genre (it seemed to fluctuate between supernatural and psychological thriller) or generate any kind of scares. It doesn't help that it wasn't screened for critics and ultimately wound up with a terrible 5 percent fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes. Between this and July's Cowboys & Aliens, it's starting to appear like Craig isn't much of a draw outside of the James Bond franchise.
Abduction fell 48 percent to an estimated $5.65 million for a total of $19.1 million. Killer Elite also dipped 48 percent, though it's weekend take was $4.86 million and it's total reached $17.4 million.
What's Your Number? wound up in eighth place with a terrible $5.6 million. That's the fifth-worst debut ever for a movie in more than 3,000 theaters, and is just over one-third of the opening of star Anna Faris's The House Bunny ($14.5 million). The movie received a decent "B" CinemaScore, and the audience was 63 percent female and 63 percent over the age of 25.
A brief mea culpa: I gambled by predicting over $14 million for What's Your Number? this weekend and clearly got burned. Honestly, though, it was hard to look at any of the relevant metrics and forecast an opening below $10 million, and there were likely some odd intangibles in play here. Perhaps it's that star Anna Faris has cooled off a bit in the three years since The House Bunny. Or maybe the title's bluntness about sex turned some viewers off. Or it could be that What's Your Number? just looked like an uninspiring retread following a Summer chock-full of successful female-oriented movies like Bridesmaids and Bad Teacher. As is often the case, all of these factors probably added up in one way or another to generate one of the worst wide release debuts in quite some time.
Actuals should be posted soon.
The Smurfs extended its chart-topping run to an otherworldly eighth straight weekend on another deadly quiet session on the foreign circuit. Friends with Benefits and Johnny English Reborn once again placed second and third, respectively, and Fast Five raced back on to the charts with a strong debut in Japan.
The Smurfs added an estimated $10.7 million from 67 markets for an outstanding $380.8 million total. It was up 24 percent to $3.5 million in Australia, and dipped 37 percent to $2.15 million in Italy. The movie also had an impressive $960,000 debut in South Africa, which ranks as the 10th-highest opening ever there.
Friends with Benefits grossed $8.5 million in 58 territories this weekend. It had a solid $1.28 million debut in Brazil, and is currently in a three-way race for first place there. Through two months in theaters, the Justin Timberlake-Mila Kunis romantic comedy has earned a very respectable $67.4 million.
Johnny English Reborn earned $8.4 million in 22 countries for an early total of $36.1 million. It took first place in Spain with $2 million and had the best comedy opening of 2011 in Hong Kong with $1.4 million. The Rowan Atkinson spy spoof will make a run for the top spot next weekend when it expands in to 10 more territories including the United Kingdom and Germany.
After wrapping up its run in nearly all of its markets, Fast Five finally reached Japan this weekend. It debuted to $6.6 million, which is over double the opening of Fast and Furious and represents a new high mark for the series. Fast Five has now earned $406.3 million overseas for a huge worldwide (domestic plus foreign) total of $616.1 million.
Crazy, Stupid, Love. had its best overseas weekend yet with an estimated $6.4 million. It's only major opening came in Australia ($2.85 million), and with a $44.5 million total so far the movie is set to launch in Spain next weekend.
The Three Musketeers expanded in to 14 markets this weekend and grossed an estimated $4.9 million. It had a solid $1.4 million start in Spain, and has already earned $20.4 million overseas ahead of its Oct. 21 U.S. opening.
Final Destination 5 earned another $4.2 million from 50 markets for a total of $104.7 million. It's now the second Final Destination movie to pass $100 million overseas, and with a few more openings on the horizon it still has a solid chance of reaching the last movie's $119.7 million.
Domestic disappointment What's Your Number? also opened in 12 overseas markets this weekend to the tune of $2.2 million. It failed to break out in Russia ($748,000), Mexico ($497,000) and the U.K. ($491,000), and doesn't appear poised for a very noteworthy foreign campaign.
Other Notables - Weekend Gross - Gross-to-Date
Rise of the Planet of the Apes - $3.4 - $234.9
The Lion King - $1.8 - $19
Horrible Bosses - $1.7 - $92.1
Fright Night - $1.7 - $18.8
The Change-Up - $1.6 - $17.4
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