http://www.andriasang.com/e/blog/2011/08/13/ps_vita_forecasts/?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed

While Sony has yet to make public how many PlayStation Vita systems it plans on selling this year, SMBC Nikko Securities analyst Kazuharu Miura shared some forecasts today. A report at Bloomberg Japan, cites Miura as forecasting sales of 2.5 million units for the system by the end of the current fiscal year in March 2012. He also expects software sales of 7 million units.

Vita will be launching this year in Japan and early next year in Europe and North America. Final details on the Japanese launch are expected at September's Tokyo Game Show.

In making his target predictions, Miura noted that the numbers could fluctuate depending on Sony's ability to get interesting software out. In the same Bloomberg report, Ace Securities analyst Hideki Yasuda expressed concern about this particular area, saying that the higher resolution of the system causes troubles for developers as it eats up development time. Yauda also warned that it's difficult for software companies to develop software for the system if they're unsure the hardware itself will sell.

Sony has admitted that it will take a loss on each Vita sold. Miura expects this loss to be about ¥5,000 per system at first, falling to ¥2,500 per system in the fiscal year ending March 2013. In that year, Miura expects the system to sell 8.5 million units hardware and 28 million units software.

By comparison, the 3DS had SOLD 2.5 Million at retail within 11 Weeks... Launching in March.

This would be like, 16(?) Weeks of Japan (Holidays included) data and less than 12 Weeks of Western data.


I think it will ship that number fairly easily tbh. No idea on SW though...

its possible

I think it really depends on the release date... lol

I think it will sell more (approx 4M). Sony seem to be avoiding the issues with the psp - namely the development of new and different software from the ps3. I think it will do reasonably well and i doubt sales of smartphones will affect PSV sales

", SMBC Nikko Securities analyst Kazuharu Miura shared some forecasts today. A report at Bloomberg Japan,"

what a foresight, how can you predict the sales before the western launch date?

or are they expecting the western launch to be after March 1st, and the 2.5 mil is in Japan alone


which is a more likely case.

He's high-balling it. I think the 2 1/2 Benjamins will hurt the sales of the PSV; it's too expensive for a handheld especially when it is in direct competition with smart phones and a cheaper 3DS.

PSP outsell DS in first year so it's not a price problem,the reason why DS sold a way better then PSP.

And the 3DS is the first handheld after the jump of popularity of smartphone we don't know the real affect in handheld console.