Forums - Sony Discussion - [ON SPOT OR CLOSE PREDICTION / GT5 Shipped by Mar 2013] I Believe Sony Will Ship 10 Million Copies Of GT5 Before 2 Years. And You?

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I'm just making my first and big prediction on VGChartz following the same scheme of BHR-3's famous predictions (I hope to have the same luck).

So what my prediction?

Sony will ship 10 million copies of GT5 until September 30th, 2012 (before celebrates two years).

Many factors should help this number happen like: PS3 price cut, GT5 price cut, bundles, etc... it's probable and I think that will happen.

For reference I'm listing here the shipped history of Gran Turismo 4 (I don't have all data).

GRAN TURISMO 4 SHIPPED DATA
September 2005 6,790k 6 months after launch
June 2006 7,630k 1 year and 3 months after launch
September 2006 8,060k 1 year and 6 months after launch
December 2006 8,790k 1 year and 9 months after launch
June 2007 9,210k 2 years and 3 months after launch
September 2007 9,520k 2 years and 6 months after launch
December 2007 9,920k 2 years and 9 months after launch
March 2008 10,060k 3 years after launch
June 2008 10,180k 3 years and 3 months after launch
December 2008 10,570k 3 years and 9 months after launch
December 2009 10,980k 4 years and 9 months after launch
December 2010 11,190k 5 years and 9 months after launch
September 2011 11,380k 6 years and 6 months after launch
December 2011 11,440k 6 years and 9 months after launch
September 2012 11,600k 7 years and 6 months after launch
March 2013 11,173k 8 year after launch

GT4 need near 3 years to top 10 million but now GT5 is tracking way better than it because shipped almost the same amount of GT4's 6 months in just 6 weeks.

So my prediction in numbers quarter by quarter:

GRAN TURISMO 5 SHIPPED DATA (MY ESTIMATE)
MONTH / YEAR MY PREDICITION SHIPPED DIFF COMMENTS
November 2010   - 5,520k - Release
December 2010 - 6,370k - First quarter
March 2011 6,970k - - 4 months after launch 
June 2011 7,480k - - 7 months after launch 
September 2011 7,930k 7,300k -630k 10 months after launch
December 2011 8,920k 7,430k -1,490k 1 year and 1 month after launch 
March 2012 9,310k     1 year and 4 months after launch  
June 2012 9,660k     1 year and 7 months after launch  
September 2012 9,970k  9,190k -780 1 year and 10 months after launch

March 2013

Over 10,000k 10,660k - 2 years and 4 months after launch

Finally what do you think about that? I'm crazy or just overestimating GT5.



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I believe in Sony....              GT5 = 14.2 million lifetime sales (IMO).



Tifa Lockhart

It will possibly be heavily bundled at the end of this Year, a GT5/LBP2 bundle would be great for the PS3 IMO... Very appealing to the casual customer.

Anyway...

As for the level of bundling, and how it can help out a game. Take Forza 3 as an example. Same genre. The competitions big racer. This Holiday season it was bundled with the 360 with the Alan Wake card. It sold 1.35 Million units with that bundle. That's... Huge. Gran Turismo 5 being a bigger name globally could do those numbers, probably more, if Sony pushed the bundles out enough.

I don't think they will, personally.

We should (Could) be looking at about or over 8.5 Million copies of GT5 by the end of the Year. If Sony bundle it. It's a big if though, as we all know Sony don't exactly do "brainy".



Carl2291 said:

It will possibly be heavily bundled at the end of this Year, a GT5/LBP2 bundle would be great for the PS3 IMO... Very appealing to the casual customer.

Anyway...

As for the level of bundling, and how it can help out a game. Take Forza 3 as an example. Same genre. The competitions big racer. This Holiday season it was bundled with the 360 with the Alan Wake card. It sold 1.35 Million units with that bundle. That's... Huge. Gran Turismo 5 being a bigger name globally could do those numbers, probably more, if Sony pushed the bundles out enough.

I don't think they will, personally.

We should (Could) be looking at about or over 8.5 Million copies of GT5 by the end of the Year. If Sony bundle it. It's a big if though, as we all know Sony don't exactly do "brainy".

Agree... bundles should help A LOT.

And 8.5m by the end of year is near my prediction ;) .



PlayStation Nation

"Making haters eat crow since 1994"
Lord of Gran Turismo - Ethomaz the Undertracked

I don't think sony will start bundling GT5 soon. This game has a lot of selling potential over at least one more holiday season considering it has essentially no competition on the ps3 system. I think it will reach around 7.5-8 shipped by the end of this year. Then if they decide to bundle it at all it will be the holidays after that and only in America and Japan. LTD sales will depend on how long GT5 sells in Americas and Japan. If bundled I think 12-13mil lifetime, if not bundled around 10mil.



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whoever had that thread that gt5 will fail, LAWLZ OGZ



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if they bundle it like forza it could reach 15 million



PD will ship more than 10 million GT5. 3.7 million to go, this is the fastest selling GT game to date I think. GT3 might be faster.



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11/20/09 04:25 makingmusic476 Warning Other (Your avatar is borderline NSFW. Please keep it for as long as possible.)
ethomaz said:

following the same scheme of BHR-3's famous predictions (I hope to have the same luck).

 


laughing out loud "luck"

ya'll thinks it luck



                                                                

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BHR-3 said:
ethomaz said:

following the same scheme of BHR-3's famous predictions (I hope to have the same luck).

 


laughing out loud "luck"

ya'll thinks it luck