Will the Wii end 2008 with >= 50% market share?

FJ-Warez

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FJ-Warez on 17 December 2007

leo-j said:
I dont need to pray its impossible, unless they outsell the combined sales of the ps3 and X360 its not going to happen.

Hello... lots of weeks in 2007???

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HappySqurriel on 17 December 2007

January 1st through March 31st the Wii will outsell the XBox 360 and PS3 combined by a wide margin; in January (and possibly February) the Wii will likely remain sold out, having sold 1.8 Million units, while the PS3 and XBox 360 will each sell 400,000 to 500,000 units.

In Q2 the performance of the systems will depend on what games get released/delayed, if Nintendo is able to release Wii Fit, Mario Kart and Super Smash Bros. they will easily hover around 50% marketshare and if Sony/Microsoft sees delays of important games the Wii's marketshare could jump to 60% or higher.

Q3 and Q4 are foggy for all systems right now, but in Q1 and Q2 we will start to see how the line-ups of the systems are fleshing out.

revolutions

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revolutions on 17 December 2007

24 + 19 = 43m Wii
10 + 17.5 = 27.5m X360
12.5 + 8.5 = 21m PS3

43m vs 48.5m = damn close but the Wii will be under 50% marketshare.

_{WiiFit will be 2008 #1 selling game in NORTH AMERICA!
End of '08 Predictions: Wii - 48m X360 - 25m PS3 - 19m
Wii monthly NA sales will top 400k every month in '08. *Jan sales ruined it. Grrrr!*
WiiFit will top 1m in sales in its first month of release in North America.
MGS4 will NOT be released in '08. *Darn it!* FF13 will NOT be released in '08.
Rockband Wii will top 600k in first month sales in North America.
WiiFit will pass the PS3 WW sales by Xmas '09.}

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dschumm on 17 December 2007

I am guessing they will be about

Wii - 19 Million
360 - 16 Million
PS3 - 9 Million

At end of 2007

And for 2008 I think

Wii - 41 Million
360 - 23 Million
PS3 - 18 Million

So yeah it will be close, maybe right before the hoiday boosts the HD systems and before shortages take place again. PS3 will be up but no price drop means not outstanding boost. 360 will keep rolling but only in the US and without Halo launch they wont do as well in 2008.

Final* Word on Game Delays:

The game will not be any better or include more content then planned. Any commnets that say so are just PR hogwash to make you feel better for having to wait.

Delays are due to lack of proper resources, skill, or adequate planning by the developer.

Do be thankful that they have enough respect for you to delay the game and maintain its intended level of quality.

*naznatips is exempt

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HappySqurriel on 17 December 2007

revolutions said:
24 + 19 = 43 Wii
10 + 17.5 = 27.5 X360
12.5 + 8.5 = 21 PS3

43m vs 48.5m = damn close but the Wii will be under 50% marketshare.

I just wonder how you choose your numbers ...

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 08th Jan 2006 to 31st Dec 2006:

Console	X360
Total	6,776,268

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 07th Jan 2007 to 16th Dec 2007:

Console	Wii	PS3	X360
Total	13,676,952	6,235,155	6,769,249

Two years in a row the XBox 360 has averaged 7 Million units of hardware. I think it is fair to expect that the PS3 and XBox 360 will sell 8 Million units of hardware each in 2008 which means that we will have:

16 Million (end of 2007) + 8 Million (2008) = 24 Million XBox 360 systems sold
8.5 Million (end of 2007) + 8 Million (2008) = 16.5 Million PS3 systems sold
24.5 Million (end of 2007) + 16 Million (2008) = 40.5 Million combined systems

The Wii will have sold 15+ Million systems in 2007 whilst being heavily supply limited ... We can't say for sure but it could sell more than 21 Million pieces of hardware in 2008 and pass the XBox 360 and PS3 combined

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jhlennon1 on 17 December 2007

No, that will never happen.

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Rubang B on 17 December 2007

For those of you using the word "never," are you sure you don't mean "hopefully not" ?

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revolutions on 17 December 2007

out of thin air, HappySqurriel. ;) i like your prediction better though.

_{WiiFit will be 2008 #1 selling game in NORTH AMERICA!
End of '08 Predictions: Wii - 48m X360 - 25m PS3 - 19m
Wii monthly NA sales will top 400k every month in '08. *Jan sales ruined it. Grrrr!*
WiiFit will top 1m in sales in its first month of release in North America.
MGS4 will NOT be released in '08. *Darn it!* FF13 will NOT be released in '08.
Rockband Wii will top 600k in first month sales in North America.
WiiFit will pass the PS3 WW sales by Xmas '09.}

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DarkNight_DS on 17 December 2007

The Wii will attain 50% market share by August 1st 2008. You can quote me on it.

Prepare for termination! It is the only logical thing to do, for I am only loyal to Megatron.

revolutions

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revolutions on 17 December 2007

DarkNight_DS said:
The Wii will attain 50% market share by August 1st 2008. You can quote me on it.

done

_{WiiFit will be 2008 #1 selling game in NORTH AMERICA!
End of '08 Predictions: Wii - 48m X360 - 25m PS3 - 19m
Wii monthly NA sales will top 400k every month in '08. *Jan sales ruined it. Grrrr!*
WiiFit will top 1m in sales in its first month of release in North America.
MGS4 will NOT be released in '08. *Darn it!* FF13 will NOT be released in '08.
Rockband Wii will top 600k in first month sales in North America.
WiiFit will pass the PS3 WW sales by Xmas '09.}

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